FXUS63 KDLH 200807 AFDDLH AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 307 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2008 .DISCUSSION... COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH OUR SOUTHERN ZONES...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER NORTHWEST ONTARIO. A FEW WEAK RETURNS WERE MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF OUR CWA...BUT LIKELY QUITE LIGHT. WE WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST AFTER 14Z TODAY...THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY...AND MENTION AN ISOLATED SHOWER THROUGH 14Z. WINDS SHOULD INCREASE OUT OF THE EAST TO NORTHEAST...AND WE WILL ISSUE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH SHORE INTO THIS EVENING. THE HEAD OF THE LAKE WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED AS WELL...AND THAT AREA MAY NEED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AS WELL. TONIGHT...WAA DEVELOPS...WITH SOME INSTABILITY AS WELL OVER PORTIONS OF OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN CWA. WE ADDED SOME SPRINKLES AFTER 06Z AS THE MODELS DO SHOW SOME LIGHT QPF. WE CONTINUED SMALL POPS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER PORTIONS OF OUR NORTHERN CWA...DOWN INTO FAR NORTHERN WISCONSIN. THERE IS WAA AND INSTABILITY IN THIS AREA...AS THE FRONT RETURNS NORTH AS DEEPER SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS. LOOKING AHEAD...A COLD FRONT AND STRONGER SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL AFFECT THE REGION MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS. && .AVIATION... VFR CONDS EXPECTED THRU TAF PD UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. ONLY SCT-BKN MID CLDS. WINDS WILL VEER FROM N TO E TDA...THEN TO SE BY TONIGHT. && POINT TEMPS/POPS... DLH 61 43 59 51 / 10 10 20 10 INL 59 37 68 49 / 10 10 20 10 BRD 68 47 74 56 / 10 10 10 10 HYR 67 39 68 50 / 10 10 10 10 ASX 61 39 64 54 / 10 10 20 10 && .DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...NONE. WI...NONE. LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LSZ121-LSZ146-LSZ147-LSZ148. $$ MELDE/04