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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

 
 FXUS66 KSGX 070522
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
930 PM PST THU NOV 6 2008

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES
AND LOCAL GUSTY WINDS BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS THROUGH FRIDAY. A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING COOLER WEATHER WITH MORE CLOUDS
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN NEXT THURSDAY
WITH FAIR AND WARMER WEATHER.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA INCLUDING SAN DIEGO...
ORANGE...SOUTHWEST SAN BERNARDINO AND WEST RIVERSIDE COUNTIES.

CLEAR SKIES...WITH WARM DAYS AND COOL NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND OFFSHORE FLOW PERSIST FOR ONE MORE
DAY. THIS EVENING...OFFSHORE WINDS REMAIN LOCALIZED WITH THE WIND
PRONE AREAS ONLY GUSTING OCCASIONALLY INTO THE 30 TO 35 MPH RANGE
WITH NOT MUCH MORE THAN A SURFACE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO PUSH
THEM. THE STRONGEST WINDS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WILL PEAK AT
AROUND 40-45 MPH AT THE FAVORED LOCATIONS...AND THAT SHOULD KEEP US
SHY OF THE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. IT WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO THE
WINDS OF TODAY...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT EASTERLY SHIFT IN DIRECTION.
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE A LITTLE MORE FRIDAY. LOWS AT NIGHT WILL
CONTINUE TO BE ON THE COOL SIDE WITH THE DRY AIR IN THOSE AREAS WITH
CALM WINDS. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY INLAND THROUGH SATURDAY WITH
POOR OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST FROM THE NORTH ON
SATURDAY AND THROUGH CA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. MODELS
HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT OR AT LEAST IN DISAGREEMENT ON WHETHER THERE
WILL BE PRECIPITATION OR NOT...BUT RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS TO REMAIN
JUST BARELY ON THE DRY SIDE. THE MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED AND A DEEP
BUT DISRUPTED MARINE LAYER LOOKS LIKE THE BEST FORECAST FOR NOW.
COOL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW DAYS BEFORE THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS AGAIN IN THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK FOR FAIR
AND WARMER WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION...
070400Z...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY WITH
UNRESTRICTED VISIBILITIES THROUGH FRIDAY.

LOCAL GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH AND
BELOW MOUNTAIN PASSES AND CANYONS WITH ASSOCIATED UP AND DOWN DRAFTS
AND LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR...ESPECIALLY VICINITY KONT...KCNO AND
KRAL.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&




PUBLIC...PG
AVIATION...HORTON