Tropical Storm GAMMA

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TROPICAL STORM GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL272005
0900Z SAT NOV 19 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO PUNTA GRUESA.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA NORTHWARD TO TULUM.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  86.2W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  86.2W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  86.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.5N  86.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.4N  86.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  35SE  35SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.0N  86.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  35SE  35SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.0N  84.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  35SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 26.0N  79.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 38.0N  67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N  86.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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