Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL272005
2100Z TUE NOV 15 2005
 
INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  69.0W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  69.0W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  68.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.9N  70.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.2N  75.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.4N  77.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 16.0N  82.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 16.5N  82.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  69.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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