Tropical Storm ALPHA

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TROPICAL STORM ALPHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL252005
2100Z SAT OCT 22 2005
 
AT 5 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE NORTHERN COAST. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IF EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

AT 5 PM EDT...THE BAHAMAS GOVERNMENT HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND
TURKS AND CAICOS.

A TROPICAL STROM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE
OF HAITI.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  68.9W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  68.9W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  68.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.3N  70.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.8N  71.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.6N  71.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 38.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N  68.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB
 
 
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