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Hurricane OPHELIA
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.5N 77.9W 33 1 X 1 35 SAVANNAH GA 2 2 2 5 11
31.0N 77.3W 18 4 2 1 25 CHARLESTON SC 5 4 3 3 15
31.0N 76.8W 10 7 3 2 22 MYRTLE BEACH SC 2 7 4 3 16
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 WILMINGTON NC X 8 4 4 16
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 3 3 MOREHEAD CITY NC X 5 5 4 14
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 CAPE HATTERAS NC X 1 5 5 11
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 NORFOLK VA X X 3 5 8
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 3 3 OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 3 4
MYAK 241N 776W X X 2 5 7 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 2 2
MYNN 251N 775W X 1 3 6 10 KEY WEST FL X X 1 4 5
MYGF 266N 787W 1 6 5 4 16 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 2 5 7
MARATHON FL X X 2 5 7 FT MYERS FL X X 2 5 7
MIAMI FL X 2 4 5 11 VENICE FL X X 1 5 6
W PALM BEACH FL X 4 5 5 14 TAMPA FL X X 1 5 6
FT PIERCE FL X 6 5 4 15 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 5 5
COCOA BEACH FL 1 5 5 4 15 ST MARKS FL X X X 3 3
DAYTONA BEACH FL 1 4 3 5 13 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL 1 1 2 6 10 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
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