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Tropical Storm OPHELIA
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 07 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.8N 79.8W 99 X X X 99 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2
29.0N 80.1W 65 X X X 65 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
29.4N 80.3W 48 X 1 X 49 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 1 4 6
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 FT MYERS FL 1 2 2 4 9
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 3 4 VENICE FL 1 3 2 4 10
MYGF 266N 787W 9 1 1 2 13 TAMPA FL 5 5 2 3 15
MARATHON FL X X X 3 3 CEDAR KEY FL 6 6 3 2 17
MIAMI FL 1 X 1 5 7 ST MARKS FL 1 6 4 4 15
W PALM BEACH FL 11 1 1 2 15 APALACHICOLA FL X 4 4 4 12
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X X 34 PANAMA CITY FL X 2 4 5 11
COCOA BEACH FL 41 X X X 41 PENSACOLA FL X X 2 6 8
DAYTONA BEACH FL 29 1 X 1 31 MOBILE AL X X 1 4 5
JACKSONVILLE FL 15 4 2 2 23 GULFPORT MS X X X 4 4
SAVANNAH GA 2 7 4 4 17 BURAS LA X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC X 3 5 5 13 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 3 6 9 GULF 29N 85W X 3 3 5 11
WILMINGTON NC X X 1 5 6 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 5 6
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
C FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
D FROM 2AM FRI TO 2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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weather.gov
