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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 06 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.1N 79.3W 76 X X X 76 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 3 3
28.5N 79.7W 52 X X X 52 KEY WEST FL X X X 3 3
28.8N 80.0W 41 X X X 41 MARCO ISLAND FL 1 1 2 4 8
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 FT MYERS FL 1 3 3 4 11
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 VENICE FL 1 4 2 4 11
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 3 3 TAMPA FL 3 6 3 3 15
MYNN 251N 775W 1 1 X 4 6 CEDAR KEY FL 2 8 4 3 17
MYGF 266N 787W 99 X X X 99 ST MARKS FL X 4 6 4 14
MARATHON FL X X 1 3 4 APALACHICOLA FL X 2 4 6 12
MIAMI FL 3 2 1 4 10 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 4 6 11
W PALM BEACH FL 19 1 X 1 21 PENSACOLA FL X X 2 5 7
FT PIERCE FL 29 X 1 X 30 MOBILE AL X X 1 4 5
COCOA BEACH FL 30 X 1 X 31 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
DAYTONA BEACH FL 21 2 1 1 25 BURAS LA X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL 6 8 3 3 20 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
SAVANNAH GA X 5 5 5 15 GULF 29N 85W X 2 3 6 11
CHARLESTON SC X 1 4 6 11 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 5 6
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 2 5 7 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
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