Hurricane OPHELIA

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
2100Z FRI SEP 16 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WATCH HILL RHODE
ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTHWARD TO HALIFAX.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH TO
HALIFAX.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  73.2W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  73.2W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  73.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 38.7N  71.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 41.6N  68.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 45.2N  63.6W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 48.0N  57.3W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 51.5N  43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 53.5N  27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 55.0N  14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N  73.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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