Hurricane OPHELIA

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
0900Z TUE SEP 13 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF CAPE
LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN
EFFECT NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HR.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  78.0W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 240SE 225SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  78.0W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  77.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.4N  78.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 33.1N  78.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 34.0N  77.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 34.9N  76.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 36.5N  74.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 39.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 44.0N  60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N  78.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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