Hurricane OPHELIA

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH
OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO
BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  77.9W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
EYE DIAMETER  90 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 240SE 225SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  77.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  77.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.4N  78.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.9N  78.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.7N  77.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.6N  77.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 38.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 42.0N  66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N  77.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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