Tropical Depression SIXTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
2100Z TUE SEP 06 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER NORTHWARD TO TITUSVILLE INCLUDING
MERRITT ISLAND...AND FOR GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS AND BIMINI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  78.5W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  78.5W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  78.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.2N  78.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.7N  79.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 28.1N  79.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.7N  80.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 29.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 30.0N  81.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 30.5N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N  78.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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