Hurricane MARIA

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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142005
1500Z TUE SEP 06 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  55.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  55.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  55.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.5N  54.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 35.9N  52.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 37.4N  50.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 38.8N  48.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 41.5N  43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 45.5N  36.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 51.0N  29.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N  55.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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