Hurricane MARIA

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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142005
2100Z MON SEP 05 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  56.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  56.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  56.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.6N  56.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 34.9N  55.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 36.3N  53.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 37.4N  51.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 40.0N  46.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 43.0N  39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 48.0N  33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N  56.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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