Hurricane MARIA

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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142005
1500Z MON SEP 05 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  56.7W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  56.7W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  56.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 33.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 34.4N  55.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 35.8N  54.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 37.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 39.0N  48.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 42.0N  41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 46.0N  33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N  56.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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