Hurricane MARIA

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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142005
0900Z MON SEP 05 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  57.0W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  57.0W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  56.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 32.7N  57.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 34.4N  56.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 36.0N  54.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 37.3N  52.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 39.3N  49.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 41.5N  43.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 44.5N  36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  57.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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