Hurricane MARIA

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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142005
2100Z SUN SEP 04 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  56.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  56.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  55.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 31.7N  56.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 33.3N  56.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 34.7N  55.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 35.8N  54.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 38.5N  51.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 41.0N  46.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 43.5N  40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N  56.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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