Hurricane PHILIPPE

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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
0900Z WED SEP 21 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  57.5W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  57.5W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  57.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.2N  57.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.3N  58.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.7N  59.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 28.2N  59.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 38.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  57.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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