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Hurricane COSME
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007
2100 UTC MON JUL 16 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) X(14)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 149N 1329W 34 95 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 149N 1329W 50 61 12(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
12 149N 1329W 64 26 8(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
24 152N 1349W 34 11 62(73) 10(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 152N 1349W 50 1 33(34) 10(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
24 152N 1349W 64 X 10(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
36 156N 1373W 34 2 10(12) 43(55) 9(64) 2(66) X(66) X(66)
36 156N 1373W 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) 6(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
36 156N 1373W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 160N 1397W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 25(38) 11(49) X(49) X(49)
48 160N 1397W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
48 160N 1397W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 175N 1455W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 6(25) X(25)
72 175N 1455W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
72 175N 1455W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 185N 1515W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13)
96 185N 1515W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
96 185N 1515W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 190N 1575W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
120 190N 1575W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 190N 1575W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 65 60 55 50 45 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
NNNN
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