Hurricane JOVA

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HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102005
2100Z FRI SEP 16 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 136.2W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  90SE  90SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 136.2W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 135.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.2N 137.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.3N 139.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.7N 141.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.2N 142.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.5N 144.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 15.5N 146.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 17.0N 148.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 136.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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