Tropical Storm JOVA

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TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102005
2100Z THU SEP 15 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 132.1W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 132.1W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 131.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.8N 133.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.6N 135.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.5N 137.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.7N 139.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 14.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 15.5N 146.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 132.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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