Tropical Storm JOVA

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TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102005
1500Z THU SEP 15 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 130.1W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 130.1W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 129.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.6N 131.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.4N 133.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.2N 135.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.2N 137.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.0N 140.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 15.0N 142.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 16.5N 145.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 130.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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