Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162005
0300Z THU OCT 20 2005
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.9W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.9W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 115.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 12.5N 117.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 12.9N 119.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.2N 120.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 15.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 15.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 115.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
 
 
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