Hurricane HILARY

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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082005
2100Z TUE AUG 23 2005
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 116.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  50SE  40SW  25NW.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 150SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 275SE 175SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 116.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 115.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.9N 117.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.7N 119.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 22.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.0N 125.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 24.5N 129.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 24.5N 134.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 116.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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