Tropical Storm HILARY

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082005
0900Z SAT AUG 20 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 100.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 100.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  99.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.0N 102.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.6N 105.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.5N 107.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.4N 109.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 19.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 21.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 100.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN