Hurricane OTIS

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HURRICANE OTIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM PDT FRI SEP 30 2005
 
...OTIS CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO SOUTHERN
   BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA
MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD TO EAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ NORTHWARD TO SAN
EVARISTO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE  EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NEAR BOTH COASTS OF THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OTIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...
205 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
AND ABOUT 255 MILES... 410 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO
MEXICO.
 
OTIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR... AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE CENTER OF OTIS IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REMAIN WEST OF SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER... ANY MOTION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST
TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE
TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OTIS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND OTIS
COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE BY SATURDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  80 MILES...130 KM. DURING THE PAST HOUR... A SUSTAINED WIND OF
39 MPH...63 KM/HR... AND A GUST TO 52 MPH...83 KM/HR WERE REPORTED
AT CABO SAN LUCAS AT A HEIGHT OF 735 FT...224 METERS ABOVE SEA
LEVEL.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...21.3 N...111.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 2 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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