Hurricane OTIS

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE OTIS ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT FRI SEP 30 2005

...OTIS SLOWS AND STRENGTHENS...NEW WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA...

AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTHWARD TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS
SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS.  HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA ON THE NEXT ADVISORY.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO SAN EVARISTO.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD TO EAST OF
CABO SAN LUCAS.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO
NORTHWARD TO LORETO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NEAR BOTH COASTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OTIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.4 WEST OR ABOUT  125 MILES...
205 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 
220 MILES... 355 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
OTIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH.  A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THE CENTER OF OTIS IS CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO REMAIN WEST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER... ANY
MOTION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER
NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OTIS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...AND OTIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
SATURDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  80 MILES...130 KM.  HOWEVER... WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...A 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND
SPEED OF 43 MPH...69 KM/HR... AND A GUST TO 50 MPH...81 KM/HR WERE
REPORTED AT CABO SAN LUCAS AT A HEIGHT OF 735 FT...224 METERS ABOVE
SEA LEVEL.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... AND SPREADING
NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...21.7 N...111.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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