Tropical Storm DORA

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TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042005
2100Z MON JUL 04 2005
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM ZIHUATANEJO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN
TELMO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO PUNTA
SAN TELMO.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
PUNTA SAN TELMO WESTWARD TO MANZANILLO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 100.6W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 100.6W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 100.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.5N 101.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.1N 102.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.9N 104.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.3N 105.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 20.5N 113.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.0N 118.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 100.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
 
 
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