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Tropical Storm GREG
ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072005
2100Z SAT AUG 13 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 114.9W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 70SE 70SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 114.9W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 114.7W
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.3N 115.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 70SE 70SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.7N 116.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 14.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 15.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 114.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
FORECASTER SISKO/AVILA
$$
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