Hurricane NORA

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT WED OCT 08 2003
 
NORA HAS DEVELOPED A FEW PACTHES OF DEEP CONVECTION HOWEVER...
INITIAL INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED TO 25 KNOTS...MOSTLY BASED OF A SHIP
OBSERVATION AND ADIOS SCATTEROMETER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
INTENSITY IS FORECAST BUT THE DEPRESSION COULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
INTERMITTENT CONVECTION BEFORE DISSIPATION. DRY AIR IS SURROUNDING
THE CYCLONE RESULTING IN A GRADUAL WEAKENING. 

NORA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTH AROUND
A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW BRINGING A FEW SQUALLS TO PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO VALLARTA TO LOS MOCHIS.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      08/1500Z 21.8N 107.6W    25 KT
 12HR VT     09/0000Z 23.0N 107.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     09/1200Z 24.0N 107.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     10/0000Z 25.5N 108.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     10/1200Z 27.0N 108.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
 
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