|
Tropical Storm CARLOS
ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032003
2100Z THU JUN 26 2003
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EASTWARD TO SALINA CRUZ AND HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO. TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 97.6W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 97.6W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 97.6W
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.7N 97.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.5N 98.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.0N 100.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 101.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 103.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 19.0N 105.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 19.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 97.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
|
|
|
|