000
FXUS62 KTAE 020117
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
915 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2008

.DISCUSSION...THINGS SEEM TO BE EVOLVING ABOUT AS FORECAST TONIGHT.
UPPER LOW HAS DROPPED DOWN TO A POSITION RIGHT ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA COASTS...AND LATEST IR SHOWS CLOUDS NOW BEGINNING TO
DEVELOP ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION ITSELF. AT LOWER LEVELS...
RELATIVELY DRY AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH
DEW POINTS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA TO THE
LOW 40S ELSEWHERE. MOISTURE IS GRADUALLY SPREADING WESTWARD ACROSS
NORTH FLORIDA WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID 50S JUST TO THE EAST OF OUR
AREA. CLOUDS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP MORE OR LESS AS EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AS WELL AS OVER THE GULF SOUTH
OF THE APALACHEE BAY...SPREADING WEST AND NORTH. THE 00Z TLH
SOUNDING INDICATED BASES SHOULD BE AROUND 8000 FT. WILL TWEAK THE
SKY GRIDS A BIT. OTHERWISE DO NOT PLAN ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO
THE CURRENT FORECAST SUITE THIS EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR TONIGHT ALL TERMINALS WITH QUITE DRY LOW LEVEL AIR
AND ENOUGH WINDS TO KEEP ANY FOG FROM DEVELOPING. MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM EAST TO WEST ON SUNDAY...ALONG
WITH INCREASING CLOUDS BASES LOWERING TO BETWEEN 4000 AND 5000 FEET.
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING AT VLD AND SPREAD
WEST TO TLH BY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW NEAR SHORE WINDS GENERALLY 5 TO
10 KNOTS...REMAINING 15 TO 17 KNOTS WELL OFFSHORE...WITH SEAS
RUNNING AROUND 3.5 TO 4.5 FEET AT THE BUOY WEST OF TAMPA. THE NEAR
SHORE AND OFF SHORE DIVISIONS APPEAR TO BE REPRESENTATIVE...AND WITH
THE EASTERLY COMPONENT EXPECT THE USUAL DIURNAL INCREASE IN WINDS
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WILL MAKE ONLY COSMETIC CHANGES TO THE MARINE
FORECAST TONIGHT.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE

GA...NONE

FL...NONE

GM...NONE.

&&

$$

DUVAL/GOREE