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    1
Global Agricultural Supply and Demand: Factors Contributing to the Recent Increase in Food Commodity Prices

2
3
4
5
6
The U.S. Organic Handling Sector in 2004: Baseline Findings of the Nationwide Survey of Organic Manufacturers, Processors, and Distributors

7
8
Agricultural Outlook Statistical Indicators

9
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

Wheat Yearbook

Latest U.S. Agricultural Trade Data

10
11
12
State Fact Sheets

Livestock and Meat Trade Data

U.S. Agricultural Trade Data Update

Season-Average Price Forecasts

Cotton and Wool Outlook

Oil Crops Outlook

Rice Outlook

13
Feed Outlook

Wheat Outlook

Agricultural Productivity in the United States

14
Meat Price Spreads

15
Vegetables and Melons Yearbook

16
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook

U.S. Cabbage Statistics

17
18
19
20
Feed Grains Database

Wheat Data

21
Eating and Health Module (ATUS)

Eating and Health Module User's Guide

22
23
Monthly Milk Cost of Production

Feed Yearbook

24
25
26
27
U.S. Sweet Potato Statistics

Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook

28
Economic Impacts of Foreign Animal Disease

29
Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook

Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade

30
The Food Assistance Landscape: FY 2007 Annual Report

Effects of Marketing Loans on U.S. Dry Peas and Lentils: ...

Grant Proposals due July 3, 2008 for Behavioral Health ...

Feed Yearbook

31
             


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This Month at ERS - [May 1, 2008 - May 31, 2008]

Thursday, May 1, 2008
Global Agricultural Supply and Demand: Factors Contributing to the Recent Increase in Food Commodity Prices

World market prices for major food commodities such as grains and vegetable oils have risen sharply to historic highs of more than 60 percent above levels just 2 years ago. Many factors have contributed to the runup in food commodity prices. Some factors reflect trends of slower growth in production and more rapid growth in demand, which have contributed to a tightening of world balances of grains and oilseeds over the last decade. Recent factors that have further tightened world markets include increased global demand for biofuels feedstocks and adverse weather conditions in 2006 and 2007 in some major grain and oilseed producing areas. Other factors that have added to global food commodity price inflation include the declining value of the U.S. dollar, rising energy prices, increasing agricultural costs of production, growing foreign exchange holdings by major food importing countries, and policies adopted recently by some exporting and importing countries to mitigate their own food price inflation.



Tuesday, May 6, 2008
The U.S. Organic Handling Sector in 2004: Baseline Findings of the Nationwide Survey of Organic Manufacturers, Processors, and Distributors

The organic sector has expanded rapidly over the last decade, as retail sales of organic food increased to $15.7 billion in 2006. As sales have grown, so have the number and types of outlets selling organic products. USDA’s Economic Research Service surveyed certified organic intermediaries in the United States to collect information on basic characteristics of the sector in 2004, as well as its marketing and procurement practices. This report uses the survey findings to present a baseline view of the organic handling sector. A large share of organic handlers are mixed operations that handle both organic and conventional products, and most began as conventional firms that converted to handling organic products. Most organic products are sold domestically, with nearly three-quarters sold nationally or regionally. More than three-quarters of the firms are independent, and most are small. Handlers seek suppliers with a reputation for providing high-quality products. Most transactions between handlers and suppliers occur under contract, reportedly so that handlers can procure ingredients essential for their businesses.



Thursday, May 8, 2008
Agricultural Outlook Statistical Indicators

Statistical Indicators previously published in Agricultural Outlook addressing a broad spectrum of agriculture-related issues. Includes commodity and food prices, general economic indicators, government program expenditures, farm income estimates, and trade and export statistics.



Friday, May 9, 2008
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
[Release Schedule]

Issued monthly, WASDE provides the most current USDA forecasts of U.S. and world supply-use balances for major grains, soybeans and products, and cotton, and U.S. supply and use data for sugar and livestock products.

Released at 8:30 a.m. ET.



Friday, May 9, 2008
Wheat Yearbook

Examines world and U.S. production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for wheat.



Friday, May 9, 2008
Latest U.S. Agricultural Trade Data

The latest U.S. agricultural trade data are now available from ERS. This new data product announces USDA's monthly release of calendar year, fiscal year, year-to-date, and monthly value of U.S. agricultural exports, imports, and trade balance.



Monday, May 12, 2008
State Fact Sheets

The ERS State Fact Sheets contain frequently requested data for each state and for the total United States. These include current data on population, per-capita income, earnings per job, poverty rates, employment, unemployment, farm and farm-related jobs, farm characteristics, farm financial characteristics, top agricultural commodities, top export commodities, and the top counties in agricultural sales. The latest (2007) data on unemployment and 2006 per capita income and earnings per job are now available.



Monday, May 12, 2008
Livestock and Meat Trade Data

The Livestock and Meat Trade Data Set contains monthly and annual data for imports and exports of live cattle, hogs, sheep, and goats, as well as beef and veal, pork, lamb and mutton, chicken meat, turkey meat, and eggs. The tables report physical quantities, not dollar values or unit prices. Data on beef and veal, pork, and lamb and mutton are on a carcass-weight-equivalent basis. Breakdowns by country are included.

Released by 10 a.m. ET.



Monday, May 12, 2008
U.S. Agricultural Trade Data Update

Provides a monthly update of year-to-date quantities and values of U.S. agricultural exports and imports. Also provides data on leading destination countries for exports and import source countries.



Monday, May 12, 2008
Season-Average Price Forecasts

A futures-price forecasting model is used to provide season-average price forecasts for corn, soybeans, and wheat. In addition to the monthly forecasts for prices received, the model computes a forecast for the counter-cyclical payment rate for each commodity. The 2002 Farm Act provides for counter-cyclical payments when prices are below specified levels.



Monday, May 12, 2008
Cotton and Wool Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for cotton and wool, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Includes data on raw fibers and textiles.

Released by 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Monday, May 12, 2008
Oil Crops Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for oil crops (primarily soybeans and products), including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Includes information on cottonseed, peanuts, sunflowerseed, tropical oils, corn oil, and animal fats.

Timely version released by 4 p.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Monday, May 12, 2008
Rice Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for rice, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Contains information on U.S. rough, milled, and long-, medium-, and short-grain rice.

Timely version released by 4 p.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Feed Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for feed grains, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Focuses on corn; also contains information on sorghum, barley, oats, and hay.

Released by 9 a.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Wheat Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for wheat, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Contains data and information on U.S. wheat by class.

Timely version released by 9 a.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Agricultural Productivity in the United States

Increased productivity is the main contributor to growth in U.S. agriculture. This data set provides estimates of productivity growth in the U.S. farm sector over the period 1948-2004, and estimates of the growth and relative levels of productivity across the individual States for the 1960-2004 period.



Wednesday, May 14, 2008
Meat Price Spreads

This data set provides monthly average price values, and the differences among those values, at the farm, wholesale, and retail stages of the production and marketing chain for selected cuts of beef, pork, and broilers. In addition, retail prices are provided for beef and pork cuts, turkey, whole chickens, eggs, and dairy products.

Released by 10 a.m. ET.



Thursday, May 15, 2008
Vegetables and Melons Yearbook
[Release Schedule]

Contains data important to the vegetables and melons industry.

Released by 4 p.m. ET.



Friday, May 16, 2008
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Timely livestock, dairy, and poultry information, focusing on current and forecast production, price, and trade statistics for each of the sectors.

Released by 9:00 a.m. ET. Supporting tables available later in the month after release of key livestock and animal product data. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification. Printed copies can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-LDPM-4042).



Friday, May 16, 2008
U.S. Cabbage Statistics

Annual data, on U.S. and State acreage, yield, and production of fresh cabbage and cabbage sauerkraut. Also includes monthly prices and price spreads; estimated production costs; and world acreage and production by country.



Tuesday, May 20, 2008
Feed Grains Database

Interactive database that contains statistics on four feed grains (corn, grain sorghum, barley, and oats), foreign coarse grains (feed grains plus rye, millet, and mixed grains), hay, and related items. Tables previously published annually in the Feed Yearbook are available and updated continuously as data are added to the database. Custom queries also allow users to retrieve historical data.



Tuesday, May 20, 2008
Wheat Data

This data product contains statistics on wheat - including the five classes of wheat: hard red winter, hard red spring, soft red winter, white, and durum - and rye. Includes data published in the monthly Wheat Outlook and previously annual Wheat Yearbook. Data are monthly, quarterly, and/or annual depending upon the data series.



Wednesday, May 21, 2008
Eating and Health Module (ATUS)

The Eating & Health (EH) Module of the American Time Use Survey (ATUS) collects data to analyze relationships among time use patterns and eating patterns, nutrition, and obesity; food and nutrition assistance programs; and grocery shopping and meal preparation. This data set can be used to measure where, when, and how long Americans eat, and also with whom they are eating. Estimates, analysis, and microdata files are available.



Wednesday, May 21, 2008
Eating and Health Module User's Guide

The Eating & Health (EH) Module of the American Time Use Survey (ATUS) collects data to analyze relationships among time use patterns and eating patterns, nutrition, and obesity; food and nutrition assistance programs; and grocery shopping and meal preparation. This User’s Guide provides detailed guidance to researchers on how to use the EH Module to measure time use and eating patterns.



Friday, May 23, 2008
Monthly Milk Cost of Production

Monthly milk cost of production estimates are available by State from January 2003 to the previous month.



Friday, May 23, 2008
Feed Yearbook
[Release Schedule]

Examines world and U.S. production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for feed grains (focusing on corn).



Tuesday, May 27, 2008
U.S. Sweet Potato Statistics

U.S. and State data on sweet potato acreage, yield, production, and value. Other statistical series include U.S. per capita use, price indexes, shipments, arrivals, exports and imports by country, and selected cost of production. World acreage, production, exports, and imports are also included.



Tuesday, May 27, 2008
Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines world and U.S. production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for beet and cane sugar, and high fructose corn syrup.

Released by 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Printed copies of the newsletter can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-SSS-4033).



Wednesday, May 28, 2008
Economic Impacts of Foreign Animal Disease

As more is learned about the impacts of foreign animal-disease outbreaks, questions arise regarding the efficacy of existing animal disease-impact models for capturing the array of effects across many economic sectors and time. Previous models lacked adequate treatment of either the economic components or the epidemiological components, and, in some cases, both. This report presents a quarterly livestock and crop modeling framework in which epidemiological model results are integrated with an economic model of the U.S. agricultural sector to estimate the economic impacts of outbreaks of foreign-source livestock diseases. The framework can be applied to many livestock diseases and this study uses the model to assess the results of a hypothetical outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD). Model results show large trade-related losses for beef, beef cattle, hogs, and pork, even though relatively few animals are destroyed. The best control strategies prove to be those that reduce the duration of the outbreak.



Thursday, May 29, 2008
Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Lower Production for Most Stone Fruit in 2008

U.S. stone fruit production in 2008 is forecast down from a year ago, particularly for peaches, sweet and tart cherries, and apricots. A mid-April freeze caused widespread damage to stone fruit crops in major producing States. The lower production this year is putting upward pressure on most stone fruit prices.



Thursday, May 29, 2008
Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade
[Release Schedule]

Offers the latest forecast of value and volume of U.S. farm exports, by commodity and region, as well as the agricultural trade balance for the coming year. Keeps readers abreast of how U.S. agricultural trade stacks up in a global market.

Released at 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Printed copies can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-AES-4035).



Friday, May 30, 2008
The Food Assistance Landscape: FY 2007 Annual Report

Federal expenditures for USDA’s food assistance programs totaled almost $54.3 billion in fiscal 2007, over 2 percent more than in the previous fiscal year. This rise marked the seventh consecutive year in which food assistance expenditures increased and the fifth consecutive year in which they exceeded the previous historical record. The five largest food assistance programs—the Food Stamp Program, the National School Lunch Program, the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC), the Child and Adult Care Food Program, and the School Breakfast Program—accounted for 95 percent of USDA’s expenditures for food assistance. This report uses preliminary data from the Food and Nutrition Service to examine trends in the programs through fiscal 2007. It also discusses a series of recent ERS reports that compile evidence to help answer the question of whether the Food Stamp Program can do more to improve the food choices of participants.



Friday, May 30, 2008
Effects of Marketing Loans on U.S. Dry Peas and Lentils: Supply Response and World Trade

The 2002 Farm Act required USDA to implement marketing loans for the 2002-07 crops of dry peas, lentils, and small chickpeas. This provision led to expanded acreage for dry peas and lentils, crops analyzed in this study. The analysis found that marketing loans played a role in expansion for dry peas in 2003-05 and for lentils in 2003. For dry peas and lentils, marketing loans contributed to acreage expansion in North Dakota and Montana. Simulation model results suggest that the marketing loans had negligible impacts on world prices for dry peas and lentils in 2003-05. Impacts on U.S. exports were minor, increasing by about 2 percent in 2003.



Friday, May 30, 2008
Grant Proposals due July 3, 2008 for Behavioral Health Economics Research

ERS's Consumer Data and Information Program (CDIP) is now accepting proposals for competitive grants in behavioral health economics research. The grant awards will support research on behavioral economic strategies to promote healthy eating and obesity prevention. Applications are due July 3, 2008.



Friday, May 30, 2008
Feed Yearbook
[Release Schedule]

Examines world and U.S. production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for feed grains (focusing on corn).



35 releases of 34 products this month on 16 different days.

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Updated date: June 29, 2008