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Cedar City, Utah USA
October 1-3, 2003
Agenda

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This page last updated 28 October 2003

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Click here to go to Top of Page Workshop Agenda:

This agenda was followed at the workshop.

Wednesday, October 1 - Monitoring Drought in an Arid-Semiarid Environment

Goals for Today's Session: Based on the speaker presentations and general discussions, by the end of the day we want to determine:

  1. what specific issues need to be addressed when monitoring drought in an arid-semiarid environment
  2. other data we need to get a better national operational handle on (reservoir observations, groundwater/well data, etc.)
  3. what West-specific indices and products are needed: progress reports on SWSI, Basin Water Index, etc.

8:00-8:10 a.m. Richard Heim (NOAA/NCDC)
Introduction and Workshop Goals
8:10-8:35 a.m. Mark Svoboda (NDMC)
The U.S. Drought Monitor: Putting the Pieces Together
8:35-9:00 a.m. Don Jensen (Utah State University)
Computation of Drought Values in Complex Terrain
9:00-9:25 a.m. Gina Loss (NOAA/NWS)
The Montana Drought - Long Term Impacts and Tools to Evaluate It's Status
9:25-9:50 a.m. Jan Curtis (WY State Climatologist)
Wyoming Drought Triggers
9:50-10:15 a.m. Ron Abramovich (USDA/NRCS Snow Survey)
Idaho Drought Indicators and Their Usefulness to Monitor Different Land and Water Use Droughts
10:15-10:30 a.m. Coffee Break
10:30-10:55 a.m. Gregg Garfin (CLIMAS/Univ. of Arizona)
Development of a State Drought Monitor for Arizona
10:55-11:20 a.m. Allen Dutcher (NE State Climatologist)
Triggers to capture short term dryness in semiarid cropping regions
11:20-11:40 a.m. Mike Hayes (NDMC)
Station-based SPI & PDI tools
11:40 a.m. -
12:00 noon
Andrew Wood (Univ. of Washington, Dept. of Civil Engineering)
Hydrologic model-based soil moisture nowcasts and forecasts for the western U.S.
12:00-1:15 p.m. Lunch (on your own)
1:15-1:30 p.m. Tom Pagano & Phil Pasteris (USDA/NRCS)
The Surface Water Supply Index (SWSI)
1:30-1:55 p.m. Allen Dutcher (NE State Climatologist)
Crop Specific Drought Indices
1:55-2:20 p.m. Connie Woodhouse (NOAA/NCDC/Paleoclimatology Branch)
The 2002 Colorado drought in a paleoclimatic perspective
2:20-2:45 p.m. Phil Pasteris (USDA/NRCS)
Filling the Gap - A strategy for locating climate stations to monitor drought
2:45-3:10 p.m. Doug Kluck (NOAA/NWS)
The need for a critical low flow/stage information
3:10-3:30 p.m. Coffee Break
3:30-3:55 p.m. Ted O'Brien (AAFC-PFRA)
The application of surface water supply demand information in drought monitoring - two case studies from the Canadian Prairies
3:55-4:20 p.m. Michael Palecki (MRCC/ISWS)
Do "Off-Season" Droughts Matter?
4:20-4:35 p.m. Andy Wood (Univ. of Washington)
Model-Based Soil Moisture Nowcasts and Forecasts
4:35-5:00 p.m. Mark Svoboda, discussion leader (NDMC)
summary discussion -- defining and monitoring drought in an arid/semiarid environment

Thursday, October 2 - U.S. Drought Monitor User Feedback & Technical Issues

Goals for This Morning's Session: Based on the speaker presentations and general discussions, by the end of the morning we want to determine:

  1. how is the USDM meeting user needs or not meeting user needs ... (users include state & city planners, water managers, senator/congressman offices, state drought coordinators, hydrologists, commercial organizations, media, etc. from across the country and from other countries)
  2. how should the USDM be used (political issues/considerations, disaster declarations down to the county level, general vs local conditions, etc.)
  3. how does the USDM fit in with other drought monitoring activities (e.g., NOAA/WGA partnership, NDPC, NADM, others)

Goals for This Afternoon's Session: Based on the speaker presentations and general discussions, by the end of the day we want to address and begin to resolve the following issues (and other issues raised at the meeting):

  1. transitioning to ArcGIS (making the USDM map, overlaying input indicator products, other output products, serving as input to the NADM ArcGIS process, etc.)
  2. the issue of 2 (or more) maps vs 1 map for USDM
    • monthly hydrological assessment product, potential companion product of the USDM, under development
    • depicting multiple scales/impacts of drought --- is the Dx level depicted the average of the short and long term Dx levels, or the worst of these two Dx levels?
  3. address action items from last year's workshop
    • weekly vs monthly Palmer (NCDC computing monthly Palmer on weekly basis using CPC data)
    • SPI issues -- which statistical distribution to use
    • the fuzziness of the Dx class boundaries
  4. RCC products (MRCC & HPRC percent of normal maps, MRCC soil moisture, etc.)
  5. terminology of Dx categories
  6. adding text explaining the strengths/weaknesses of USDM and how to use the product
  7. consistency of labeling the A, H, AH impact areas

8:00-8:25 a.m. Douglas Le Comte (NOAA/NWS/CPC)
Current Status of CPC Drought Forecasting
8:25-8:50 a.m. Mike Hayes (NDMC)
Status of the Western Governors Association/NOAA NIDIS
8:50-9:15 a.m. Brad Rippey (USDA)
USDA utility of the USDM
9:15-9:40 a.m. Jay Breidenbach (NOAA/NWS)
Use of the U.S. Drought Monitor at Regional and Local Drought Briefings
9:40-10:05 a.m. Joe Abraham and Gregg Garfin (CLIMAS/Univ. of Arizona)
U.S. Drought Monitor Comments from Southwest Stakeholders
10:05-10:30 a.m. Coffee Break
10:30-10:55 a.m. Harry Lins (USGS) - to be presented by Mark Svoboda (NDMC)
U.S. Water Resources Assessment
10:55-11:20 a.m. Kelly Redmond (DRI/WRCC)
An Assessment of Drought Assessment: Where is Improvement Most Needed?
11:20 a.m. -
12:00 noon
Mark Svoboda, discussion leader (NDMC)
summary discussion -- USDM user feedback issues
12:00-1:30 p.m. Lunch (on your own)
1:30-1:55 p.m. Jesslyn Brown (SAIC USGS/EROS Data Center)
New Methods for Integrating Climate and Satellite Data for Monitoring Drought Impacts on Vegetation
1:55-2:20 p.m. Rich Tinker (NOAA/NWS/CPC)
Status Report on the Objective Blends
2:20-2:45 p.m. David Miskus (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC/JAWF)
Using ArcGIS for the US-DM
2:45-3:15 p.m. Brad Rippey, discussion leader (USDA)
general discussion -- USDM technical issues
3:15-3:30 p.m. Coffee Break
3:30-5:00 p.m. Douglas Le Comte, discussion leader (NOAA/NWS/CPC)
general discussion, continuation -- USDM technical issues

Friday, October 3 - U.S. Drought Monitor Administrative and Technical Issues

Goals for Today's Session: By the end of the morning we want to finish discussing the technical issues from yesterday and address and resolve the following administrative issues (and other issues raised at the meeting):

  1. the need for additional USDM authors
  2. written guidelines (regarding who can be authors, what products those authors can or should consider, what they should not look at, etc.) and external advisory board
  3. unauthorized "release" of draft USDM
  4. the full picture --- integrated national-regional-state-local product suite --- NCDC, CPC, JAWF, RFCs, NRCS, NDMC, RCCs, SCs --- integrate data, map, product, web page layers

9:00-10:15 a.m. Mark Svoboda/Mike Hayes, discussion leaders (NDMC)
general discussion -- USDM administrative & technical issues
10:15-10:30 a.m. Coffee Break
10:30 a.m. -
12:00 noon
David Miskus/Rich Tinker, discussion leaders (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC & JAWF)
general discussion, continuation -- USDM administrative issues

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