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April 2007 Cold Wave

Frozen Oranges

National Climatic Data Center
9 May 2007


Overview

The April 2007 Cold Wave occurred across much of the central Plains, Midwest and into the Southeast during the 4th through the 10th. For the month as a whole, April temperatures across the contiguous U.S. were near average ranking 47th coolest, although below average temperatures are apparent in these affected regions. The impacts of this cold air outbreak are extensive and still have yet to be completely quantified. Perhaps the most significant impact of this cold wave is related to the timing and duration of the event in concert with crop emergence and tree blooms. Winter wheat across the central Plains and Midwest and emerged corn and blooming fruits across the southern U.S. were perhaps among the hardest hit agricultural crops.

Several factors made this cold wave more harmful to agricultural interests than similar events in the past. March 2007 was exceptionally warm across a large portion of the U.S. from the northern Plains through the Mississippi Valley and into the Southeast. A dominant ridge of high pressure, entrenched across the contiguous U.S., allowed average monthly temperatures to exceed average conditions by more than 6°F across this region. The prolonged warm spell led to a premature leaf and bloom for many plants and trees across the region. In contrast to the warmth across the Lower 48 states, cold air was entrenched across much of Alaska making it the 3rd coldest March on record for the state.

Apr07 Temperatures in the SE U.S.In early April, a pattern shift brought this cold Arctic air southward into the central and eastern U.S. This record-breaking cold air penetrated much of this region from April 4-10 bringing near-record to record cold temperatures to parts of the central Plains and much of the Southeast. Temperatures in some locations dropped into the teens and lower 20s overnight with many hours of sub-freezing temperatures on multiple and subsequent days. As many as four to five nights of extremely cold temperatures coupled with sustained desiccating winds during the sub-freezing period made this event more harmful for plants and trees and brought extensive losses to agricultural interests.

In northern Alabama, minimum temperatures during this event generally fell into the lower to mid 20s with between 9 and 46 hours of temperatures below 32°F from April 7-10. Visible evidence from satellite shows the browning of vegetation which took place between the 5th and the 8th across the Cumberland Plateau of Tennessee and northern Alabama.

CRN

Data from the Climate Reference Network (CRN) across the central Plains and Southeast are shown in the figure below. During the time of the killing freeze, April 4-10, several CRN stations reported minimum temperatures in the teens. These include Batesville, AR (18°F), Manhattan, KS (14°F), Chillicothe, MO (17°F) and Crossville, TN (14°F). The number of hours the minimum air temperature was below 32°F across much of the region was considerable.

listing of CRN station statistics for the killing freeze of April 4-10, 2007

Additional Information

When looking at the 20th Century mean for the contiguous U.S., April is warmer than March on average by about 9°F. Comparing March and April temperatures across the central, southern and southeastern portions of the U.S., we see that in many cases, March and April were very similar. Seven of the sixty U.S. Climate at a Glance cities were actually colder in April when compared with March. They include: Amarillo, TX, Birmingham, AL, Dallas, TX, Jackson, MS, Tulsa, OK, Wichita, KA, and Kansas City, MO. Ten additional cities had April average temperatures warmer than March, yet within 1°F of each other.

Statewide temperature averages indicate that April was colder than March across Arkansas, Kansas, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Tennessee and Texas. A comparison of March and April statistics is listed in the table below.

State March 07 Avg Temp April 07 Avg Temp March Dep (from 20th Century Avg) April Dep (from 20th Century Avg)
Arkansas 59.3°F 57.6°F +7.7°F -3.0°F
Kansas 52.1°F 51.4°F +9.5°F -2.0°F
Mississippi 61.3°F 60.9°F +5.5°F -2.8°F
Oklahoma 57.9°F 55.7°F +8.8°F -3.4°F
Tennessee 56.5°F 55.8°F +7.8°F -1.9°F
Texas 61.7°F 61.5°F +4.5°F -3.6°F

Records

Between the 4th and 10th there were 1237 broken (321 tied) daily minimum temperature records in the Contiguous United States. (These records are based on the historical daily observations archived in NCDC's TD-3200 data set and preliminary reports from Cooperative Observers and First Order National Weather Service stations, and as such are subject to change.)

Selected U.S. City and State Extremes for April.

Daily Minimum Temperature Records

April 4, 2007
April 5, 2007
April 6, 2007
April 7, 2007
April 8, 2007
April 9, 2007
April 10, 2007

Southeast

Severe Weather and Wind Event - April 15, 2007, Jacksonville, FL

April 6-9, 2007 Records Summary in the Southeast

Record Monthly Lows
Date City New/Tie Record Old Record Old Date
April 7, 2007 Asheville Regional Airport, NC 20 22 April 1, 1987
April 8, 2007 Savannah Airport, GA 28 32 April 8, 1962
April 8, 2007 Augusta Regional Bush Field. GA 26 26 April 7, 1982
April 8, 2007 Alma, GA 30 31 April 8, 1987
April 8, 2007 Columbia Metro. Airport, SC 26 26 April 20, 1983
April 8, 2007 Greenville-Spartanburg Airport, SC 24 25 April 20, 1983
April 8, 2007 Charlotte Douglas Intl. Airport, NC 21 24 April 1, 1923
April 8, 2007 Jacksonville, FL 31 34 April 8, 1987
Record Daily Lows
Date City New/Tie Record Old Record Old Year
April 6, 2007 Danville, VA 28 28 2004
April 6, 2007 Salisbury, MD 23 26 2002
April 7, 2007 Greenville-Spartanburg Airport, SC 28 28 1950
April 7, 2007 Columbia Metro. Airport, SC 30 30 1982
April 7, 2007 Asheville Regional Airport, NC 20 25 1982
April 7, 2007 Charlotte Douglas Intl. Airport, NC 25 27 1950
April 7, 2007 Wilmington, NC 32 34 1950
April 7, 2007 Northwest AL Regional Airport Muscle Shoals, AL 26 30 1982
April 7, 2007 Huntsville Intl. Airport, AL 25 27 1950
April 7, 2007 Atlanta, GA 28 29 1982
April 8, 2007 Salisbury, MD 25 27 1990
April 8, 2007 Washington National 29 29 1982
April 8, 2007 Danville, VA 22 26 1961
April 8, 2007 Lynchburg, VA 22 24 1970
April 8, 2007 Bluefield, VA 21 22 1972
April 8, 2007 Elizabeth City, VA 27 29 1982
April 8, 2007 Norfolk, VA 33 33 1972
April 8, 2007 Charleston Airport, SC 30 34 1950
April 8, 2007 Downtown Charleston, SC 38 43 1972
April 8, 2007 Columbia Metro. Airport, SC 26 31 1971
April 8, 2007 Greenville-Spartanburg Airport, SC 24 32 1990
April 8, 2007 Florence, SC 26 34 1971
April 8, 2007 N. Myrtle Beach, SC 29 30 1950
April 8, 2007 Asheville Regional Airport, NC 22 26 1994
April 8, 2007 Raleigh-Durham Intl. Airport, NC 27 28 1975
April 8, 2007 Piedmont Triad Intl. Airport, NC 25 28 1990
April 8, 2007 Charlotte Douglas Intl. Airport, NC 21 30 1961
April 8, 2007 Wilmington, NC 29 33 1972
April 8, 2007 New Bern , NC 30 31 1950
April 8, 2007 Northwest AL Regional Airport Muscle Shoals, AL 26 30 1939
April 8, 2007 Huntsville Intl. Airport, AL 26 28 1958
April 8, 2007 Mobile Regional Airport, AL 38 39 1990
April 8, 2007 Pinson, AL 25 27 1990
April 8, 2007 Jacksonville, FL 31 37 1971
April 8, 2007 Pensacola Regional Airport, FL 39 41 1939
April 8, 2007 Gainesville, FL 35 38 1950
April 8, 2007 Brunswick, GA 37 38 1950
April 8, 2007 Alma, GA 30 34 1950
April 8, 2007 Athens, GA 27 32 1990
April 8, 2007 Atlanta, GA 30 32 1886
April 8, 2007 Macon, GA 28 30 1990
April 8, 2007 Augusta Regional Bush Field. GA 26 32 1971
April 8, 2007 Savannah Airport, GA 28 35 1950
April 9, 2007 Savannah Airport, GA 31 36 2000
Record Daily Low Highs
Date City New/Tie Record Old Record Old Year
April 7, 2007 Roanoke, VA 39 45 1982
April 7, 2007 Bluefield, VA 27 36 1982
April 7, 2007 Savannah Airport, GA 56 62 1950
April 7, 2007 Downtown Charleston, SC 56 57 1982
April 7, 2007 Columbia Metro. Airport, SC 51 53 1907
April 7, 2007 Asheville Regional Airport, NC 38 48 1973
April 7, 2007 Huntsville Intl. Airport, AL 45 50 1939
April 7, 2007 Northwest AL Regional Airport Muscle Shoals, AL 46 48 1958
April 7, 2007 Tallahassee, FL 58 59 1898
April 8, 2007 Tallahassee, FL 58 61 1899
April 8, 2007 Savannah Airport, GA 59 61 1982
Record Daily Snow
Date City New/Tie Record Old Record Old Year
April 7, 2007 Baltimore, MD 0.2 0.2 1972
April 7, 2007 Greenville-Spartanburg Airport, SC T 0 -
April 7, 2007 Raleigh-Durham Intl. Airport, NC T 0 -
April 7, 2007 Asheville Regional Airport, NC 1.2 1 1989
April 7, 2007 Elizabeth City, VA T 0 -
April 7, 2007 Richmond, VA 1 0.2 1990
April 7, 2007 Salisbury, MD 1.2 1 1990
Provided by William Schmitz, Southeast Regional Climate Center

Deep South

Little Rock, AR
Unprecedented April snowfall across parts of Southeast Texas
Texas Climatic Bulletin Summary

Midwest

Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

Plains

San Angelo, TX
Amarillo, TX


Crop Damage

The April 2007 Cold Wave brought significant crop losses across the central Plains, Midwest, and into the Southeast. Although the extent of damage has not been fully assessed, losses may total billions of dollars in the affected states.

The event brought extensive losses mainly due to the anomalous warmth during the month of March which helped induce an earlier spring blossom, in some cases two weeks prior to crop development in 2006. Over the weekend of 6-9 April, average low temperatures across the south were on average 24°, 20°, 16°, and 18°F, each of those days respectively; all temperatures below the critical threshold of 28°F. If mean temperatures are below that critical temperature developing fruit and blossoms are likely to suffer damage. At 25°F, agricultural officials said, farmers can expect to lose about 90 percent of their crop.

According to Virginia's Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services peaches and apples were the most affected in Virginia, with apple losses varying from 5% to 90% and peach losses varying from 80% to 100%, depending on the area. Meanwhile, North Carolina's Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services reported a preliminary estimate of at least $112 million in crop losses.

The following table provides a summary of Very Poor to Poor crop conditions for the period prior to and after the cold wave. The information found below was provided by U.S. Department of Agriculture / National Agricultural Statistics Service.

Affected States Pre-Freeze Post-Freeze
Alabama
Winter Wheat 14% (04/01)* 36% (04/22)
Arkansas
Winter Wheat 6% (04/01) 64% (04/23)
Corn 16% (04/08) 58% (04/22)
Pastures 15% (04/01) 25% (04/22)
Georgia
Corn 3% (04/01) 26% (04/22)
Pastures 34% (04/01)* 49% (04/22)
Apples 0% (04/01) 99% (04/22)
Peaches 5% (04/01) 83% (04/22)
Tobacco 0% (04/01) 30% (04/22)
Illinois
Winter Wheat 9% (04/01) 29% (04/23)
Alfalfa NR 32% (04/22)
Red Clover NR 32% (04/22)
Indiana
Winter Wheat 12% (04/01) 30% (04/22)
Kansas
Winter Wheat 4% (04/01) 41% (04/22)
Kentucky
Corn NR 39% (04/22)
Strawberries NR 66% (04/22)
Missouri
Winter Wheat 8% (04/01) 64% (04/23)
Pastures 17% (04/01) 39%% (04/22)
North Carolina
Winter Wheat 3% (04/01) 39% (04/23)
Peaches NR 98% (04/22)
Truck Crops 2% (04/01) 35% (04/22)
Irish Potatoes 6% (04/01) 30% (04/22)
Rye 1% (04/01) 58% (04/22)
Barley 1% (04/01) 55% (04/22)
Oats 0% (04/01) 31% (04/22)
Ohio
Winter Wheat 26% (04/01)** 27% (04/22)
Apples 8% (04/08) 60% (04/22)
Peaches 12% (04/08) 70% (04/22)
South Carolina
Winter Wheat 1% (04/01) 50% (04/22)
Corn 1% (04/01) 46% (04/22)
Pastures 11% (04/01) 25% (04/22)
Apples NR 90% (04/22)
Peaches NR 87% (04/22)
Tobacco NR 48% (04/22)
Cucumbers 0% (04/01) 70% (04/22)
Snapbeans 0% (04/01) 70% (04/22)
Cantelopes 0% (04/01) 45% (04/22)
Watermelons 0% (04/01) 43% (04/22)
Oats 1% (04/01) 41% (04/22)
Tennessee
Winter Wheat 3% (04/01) 84% (04/22)
Apples 0% (04/08) 91% (04/22)
Peaches NR 98% (04/22)
Strawberries NR 39% (04/22)
Pastures 31% (04/01)* 32% (04/22)
Virginia
Peaches 2% (04/01) 86% (04/22)

NR = Not Reported
* Due to drought
** Due to wetness

Information provided by U.S. Department of Agriculture / National Agricultural Statistics Service


Other Impacts

In addition to the extensive crop losses discussed above, there are indications that losses in vegetative cover resulted in other impacts beyond the immediate damages. Scientists in NOAA's Air Resources Laboratory, Atmospheric Turbulence and Diffusion Division, have observed a decline of carbon dioxide uptake by the forest ecosystems as well as an impact on the energy budget of the region. Content for this section was provided by Dr. Tilden Meyers at ATDD.

Vegetation Health

The early green up resulting from the unusually warm temperatures in March is clearly depicted from in-situ observations from two of NOAA's Surface Energy Balance Network (SEBN) towers located on the Walker Branch Watershed and Chestnut Ridge towers in Oak Ridge, Tennessee. As shown in the figure below, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), an indicator of plant canopy green leaf area, clearly shows the early green-up relative to last year with the sharp rise occurring about 3 weeks earlier than in 2006. The dramatic impact of the widespread and intense spring freeze is clear from the sharp drop in the NDVI value on day 98 (April 8). The NDVI is only 25% above the winter baseline at a time when it should be at a maximum. The recovery of the vegetation is beginning, but the pace and extent to which the vegetation recovers will become evident in the coming weeks.

Walker Branch Watershed, Oak Ridge, TN - NDVI 2006 vs. 2007

Carbon Dioxide Uptake

The increase in carbon dioxide (CO2) uptake by tree and plant life that normally occurs as forests leaf out in the spring has also been impacted by the record cold. The graph below depicts the consequent decline of CO₂ uptake by the forest ecosystems (blue line - 2007; red line - 2006, typical pattern of increasing carbon dioxide uptake in the spring season). As of May 3, for the daytime period, the average integrated CO₂ flux did not yet show a sink (negative fluxes; uptake of CO₂ from the atmosphere), when under normal conditions it would be showing a maximum daily uptake. (While human and animal life breath in oxygen and exhale carbon dioxide, healthy forests take in carbon dioxide and release oxygen.) Negative CO₂ fluxes (net uptake of carbon dioxide) would be evidence of a healthy forest ecosystem.

Daytime CO2 Flux

Surface Radiation Budget (Heat and Evaporation)

The lack of normal amounts of vegetative cover is resulting in more of the sun's energy being used for heating the atmosphere instead of evaporating water from trees and plant life. The evapotranspiration from the canopy (transfer of moisture from vegetation and the Earth's surface to the atmosphere) is ¼ of what is normally expected for early May. Conversely, sensible heat flux is much higher, which results in more of the sun's energy being used to heat the air near the Earth's surface. These conditions are somewhat analogous to conditions in the desert, where radiation from the sun acts to raise the temperature of the air instead of evaporating moisture from vegetation and the ground.

The resulting warmer air temperatures and reduced moisture in the atmosphere have the potential to exacerbate drought conditions in the region. In early May, severe to extreme drought covered an area that stretched from western North Carolina, southern Tennessee and northern Georgia to eastern Missisippi. Severe to extreme drought was also present in southern Georgia, where the largest wildfire on record for the state continued to burn in early May. Drought also affected parts of Florida, the Southwest US, and areas of the northern Rockies, northern High Plains, and northern Minnesota. Additional drought information is available in the April US Drought report.