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United States Department of Agriculture |
Foreign Agricultural Service |
Circular Series
FG 0208 |
February 2008 |
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Grain:
World Markets and Trade
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COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS:
Argentina Reopens
Corn Export Registrations: With the reopening of
corn export sales after a long hiatus, 2.1
million tons were registered in the first two
days. Assuming no further restrictions on sales
and shipments, logistical constraints pose no
threat to USDA’s forecast of 14.5 million tons,
despite competition for port facilities from
wheat and soybeans.
PRICES:
Domestic: U.S
corn export prices averaged $220 per ton in
January, up over $19 from December. Strong
demand and tight exportable supplies of foreign
feed grains have kept prices firm. Sorghum
prices averaged $231 per ton, up $26, due to
continued strong demand from the EU-27.
TRADE CHANGES IN
2007/2008
Selected Exporters
- Argentina corn is cut by 500,000
tons to 14.5 million because of reduced
production prospects. With corn export
registrations reopened (see item above) and
significant early buying interest, the
effect from a smaller crop is muted.
- South Africa corn is raised by
700,000 tons to 1.5 million based on a
higher crop forecast. Although the country
has not exported much the last 2 years, the
exportable surplus should find good markets
regionally and perhaps in Japan and Korea.
- Kazakhstan barley is boosted by
200,000 tons to 1.2 million, the highest in
15 years, because of a larger crop and
limited competition.
- United States sorghum is cut by
200,000 to 7.0 million on lower demand from
Mexico but is partly offset by higher
expected sales to the EU-27.
- Canada exports and United
States imports of oats are both
boosted by 200,000 tons (to 2.1 million and
2.0 million tons, respectively) to record
levels based on the pace of trade.
Selected Importers
- EU-27 sorghum is up 100,000 tons to
a record 4.0 million based on the pace of
import licenses and sales and shipments from
the United States.
is down 500,000 tons
to 1.5 million, the lowest in 20 years, on
higher production and slow pace of shipments
from the United States.
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