EU-15: 2003 Grain Forecast by Country

Wheat, Coarse Grain Production Down Sharply from 2002

This report provides further background on USDA official estimates released November 12, 2003.

Wheat Situation

FAS/Washington estimates 2003/04 EU-15 wheat production at 92.0 million tons, 11 percent below last year's revised crop. Harvested area is estimated at 17.1 million hectares, 5 percent below last year's level. The yield for this year's crop is estimated to be 5.38 tons per hectare, substantially lower than last year's level of 5.77 tons per hectare. Estimates from the 2001/02 and 2002/03 crop years were revised this month, using a variety of sources.

Coarse Grain Situation

FAS/Washington estimates 2003/04 EU-15 coarse grain production at nearly 93 million tons, 13 percent below last year's revised crop. Harvested area is estimated at nearly 18.9 million hectares, 2 percent below last year's level. Total coarse grain yield for this year's crop is estimated to be 4.93 tons per hectare, substantially lower than last year's level of 5.52 tons per hectare. Coarse grains include barley, corn, mixed grain (including triticale), oats, rye and sorghum. Estimates from the 2001/02 and 2002/03 crop years were revised this month, using a variety of sources.

Wheat and Coarse Grain Statistics

The tables below represent the details of the official USDA EU-15 grain totals. The practice of reporting official monthly statistics for each individual country within the EU-15 ended in May 2002. The numbers that appear below are provided as a convenience to USDA customers, but users are advised that there is no longer an official USDA production estimate for any individual country within the EU-15. The only official USDA estimates are the EU-15 totals, which are the sums of the individual country statistics listed below.

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EU-15	Country Name	Wheat			Total Coarse Grains
	Year	2001	2002	2003	2001	2002	2003
Area Harvested (1000 ha)	Austria	288	324	265	535	541	520
	Bel/Lux	191	212	210	124	125	121
	Denmark	634	577	670	904	951	840
	Finland	143	174	190	989	1002	1000
	France	4769	5230	4950	4073	3998	3870
	Germany	2898	3015	2965	4148	3925	3755
	Greece	635	845	600	315	310	365
	Ireland	85	103	85	199	195	195
	Italy	2289	2415	2270	1619	1643	1654
	Netherlands	123	135	135	104	97	105
	Portugal	184	225	180	285	271	260
	Spain	2203	2401	2270	4080	4175	4185
	Sweden	399	339	410	767	777	745
	UK	1635	1996	1900	1376	1248	1245
Yield (tons/ha)	Austria	5.24	4.83	4.19	6.18	6.27	5.40
	Bel/Lux	7.91	8.16	8.24	8.01	8.45	7.52
	Denmark	7.36	7.03	7.16	5.26	4.99	5.26
	Finland	3.42	3.27	3.42	3.17	3.31	3.22
	France	6.62	7.44	6.20	6.96	7.57	6.04
	Germany	7.88	6.90	6.51	6.48	5.75	5.13
	Greece	1.92	1.71	1.83	5.01	5.43	4.84
	Ireland	9.05	8.43	8.82	7.01	5.62	6.67
	Italy	2.80	3.12	2.97	7.54	7.49	5.85
	Netherlands	8.06	7.83	9.11	6.52	6.59	6.05
	Portugal	0.84	1.93	1.11	3.50	3.43	3.42
	Spain	2.24	2.83	2.78	2.96	3.36	3.41
	Sweden	5.88	6.23	6.29	3.97	4.31	3.92
	UK	7.08	8.00	7.79	5.35	5.60	6.02
Production (1000 tons)	Austria	1508	1566	1110	3307	3390	2810
	Bel/Lux	1511	1729	1730	993	1056	910
	Denmark	4664	4056	4800	4759	4749	4420
	Finland	489	569	650	3137	3320	3220
	France	31571	38934	30700	28334	30284	23380
	Germany	22838	20818	19300	26872	22573	19250
	Greece	1217	1443	1100	1578	1683	1765
	Ireland	769	868	750	1395	1096	1300
	Italy	6413	7529	6750	12213	12308	9680
	Netherlands	991	1057	1230	678	639	635
	Portugal	154	434	200	997	930	890
	Spain	4938	6783	6300	12087	14008	14280
	Sweden	2345	2113	2580	3046	3350	2920
	UK	11580	15973	14800	7366	6983	7490
Total Area Harvested	EU-15	16476	17991	17100	19518	19258	18860
Total Yield	EU-15	5.52	5.77	5.38	5.47	5.52	4.93
Total Production	EU-15	90988	103872	92000	106762	106369	92950

Barley, Corn and Oats Statistics

EU-15	Country Name	Barley			Corn			Oats
	Year	2001	2002	2003	2001	2002	2003	2001	2002	2003
Area Harvested (1000 ha)	Austria	218	216	210	195	190	190	31	35	30
	Bel/Lux	63	57	50	41	48	50	9	8	10
	Denmark	744	825	710	0	0	0	60	55	50
	Finland	543	522	530	0	0	0	417	450	440
	France	1705	1643	1745	1914	1831	1620	118	153	130
	Germany	2112	1970	2085	397	399	340	233	233	260
	Greece	130	110	165	120	140	140	45	45	45
	Ireland	182	176	175	0	0	0	17	19	20
	Italy	333	343	310	1109	1112	1160	140	151	150
	Netherlands	66	57	60	27	30	30	3	2	5
	Portugal	12	12	10	155	139	140	61	65	65
	Spain	2994	3100	3080	504	463	465	441	473	490
	Sweden	395	408	370	0	0	0	272	288	280
	UK	1245	1101	1095	0	0	0	112	126	125
Yield (tons/ha)	Austria	4.64	4.26	3.95	9.08	10.21	8.05	4.13	3.60	4.00
	Bel/Lux	6.75	7.00	6.40	11.34	11.15	9.40	4.67	5.50	4.50
	Denmark	5.33	5.00	5.35	-	-	-	4.87	5.02	5.00
	Finland	3.29	3.33	3.21	-	-	-	3.09	3.35	3.30
	France	5.75	6.69	5.64	8.57	8.98	6.98	4.11	5.05	4.38
	Germany	6.39	5.55	5.12	8.83	9.37	7.06	4.94	4.36	4.62
	Greece	1.92	1.82	2.00	10.00	9.64	9.29	2.20	2.20	2.22
	Ireland	7.02	5.47	6.69	-	-	-	6.94	7.00	6.50
	Italy	3.38	3.47	3.39	9.52	9.50	7.07	2.21	2.18	2.00
	Netherlands	5.86	5.53	6.17	8.85	9.00	6.67	4.67	6.50	3.00
	Portugal	1.08	1.67	1.00	5.85	5.68	5.71	0.61	0.94	0.62
	Spain	2.09	2.69	2.86	9.84	9.64	9.25	1.49	1.94	1.78
	Sweden	4.16	4.36	4.08	-	-	-	3.54	4.10	3.54
	UK	5.35	5.57	6.03	-	-	-	5.54	5.98	6.16
Production (1000 tons)	Austria	1012	921	830	1771	1940	1530	128	126	120
	Bel/Lux	425	399	320	465	535	470	42	44	45
	Denmark	3966	4121	3800	0	0	0	292	276	250
	Finland	1786	1739	1700	0	0	0	1287	1508	1450
	France	9807	10988	9840	16408	16440	11300	485	773	570
	Germany	13495	10928	10670	3505	3738	2400	1151	1016	1200
	Greece	249	200	330	1200	1350	1300	99	99	100
	Ireland	1277	963	1170	0	0	0	118	133	130
	Italy	1126	1190	1050	10554	10564	8200	310	329	300
	Netherlands	387	315	370	239	270	200	14	13	15
	Portugal	13	20	10	907	789	800	37	61	40
	Spain	6245	8333	8800	4957	4463	4300	659	916	870
	Sweden	1642	1778	1510	0	0	0	964	1181	990
	UK	6660	6128	6600	0	0	0	621	753	770
Total Area Harvested	EU-15	10742	10540	10595	4462	4352	4135	1959	2103	2100
Total Yield	EU-15	4.48	4.56	4.44	8.97	9.21	7.38	3.17	3.44	3.26
Total Production	EU-15	48090	48023	47000	40006	40089	30500	6207	7228	6850

Mixed Grain, Rye and Sorghum Statistics

EU-15	Country Name	Mixed Grain			Rye			Sorghum
	Year	2001	2002	2003	2001	2002	2003	2001	2002	2003
Area Harvested (1000 ha)	Austria	40	51	50	51	49	40	0	0	0
	Bel/Lux	9	11	10	2	1	1	0	0	0
	Denmark	35	25	40	65	46	40	0	0	0
	Finland	0	0	0	29	30	30	0	0	0
	France	241	271	285	28	29	30	67	71	60
	Germany	569	595	540	837	728	530	0	0	0
	Greece	0	0	0	20	15	15	0	0	0
	Ireland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Italy	0	0	0	3	3	4	34	34	30
	Netherlands	4	4	5	4	4	5	0	0	0
	Portugal	19	19	10	38	36	35	0	0	0
	Spain	32	30	30	101	102	110	8	7	10
	Sweden	66	57	70	34	24	25	0	0	0
	UK	14	16	15	5	5	10	0	0	0
Yield (tons/ha)	Austria	4.55	4.45	4.00	4.20	3.59	3.25	-	-	-
	Bel/Lux	5.89	6.36	7.00	4.00	8.00	5.00	-	-	-
	Denmark	4.83	4.88	5.00	5.11	5.00	4.25	-	-	-
	Finland	-	-	-	2.21	2.43	2.33	-	-	-
	France	4.66	5.50	4.56	4.14	4.79	4.00	5.90	6.38	4.17
	Germany	6.31	5.42	4.96	6.13	5.04	4.34	-	-	-
	Greece	-	-	-	1.50	2.27	2.33	-	-	-
	Ireland	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	Italy	-	-	-	3.00	3.33	2.50	6.29	6.32	4.00
	Netherlands	5.25	6.00	6.00	4.25	4.25	4.00	-	-	-
	Portugal	0.84	1.37	1.00	0.63	0.94	0.86	-	-	-
	Spain	2.34	2.97	3.00	1.06	1.71	1.73	5.50	4.71	3.00
	Sweden	3.94	4.61	4.29	5.29	5.33	4.80	-	-	-
	UK	4.43	4.56	4.67	4.60	5.80	5.00	-	-	-
Production (1000 tons)	Austria	182	227	200	214	176	130	0	0	0
	Bel/Lux	53	70	70	8	8	5	0	0	0
	Denmark	169	122	200	332	230	170	0	0	0
	Finland	0	0	0	64	73	70	0	0	0
	France	1123	1491	1300	116	139	120	395	453	250
	Germany	3589	3225	2680	5132	3666	2300	0	0	0
	Greece	0	0	0	30	34	35	0	0	0
	Ireland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Italy	0	0	0	9	10	10	214	215	120
	Netherlands	21	24	30	17	17	20	0	0	0
	Portugal	16	26	10	24	34	30	0	0	0
	Spain	75	89	90	107	174	190	44	33	30
	Sweden	260	263	300	180	128	120	0	0	0
	UK	62	73	70	23	29	50	0	0	0
Total Area Harvested	EU-15	1029	1079	1055	1217	1072	875	109	112	100
Total Yield	EU-15	5.39	5.20	4.69	5.14	4.40	3.71	5.99	6.26	4.00
Total Production	EU-15	5550	5610	4950	6256	4718	3250	653	701	400

Other USDA Resources on the Internet

Web Updates

EU-15: Cotton Production Summary, 10/1/03
EU-15: Biodiesel Industry Expanding Use of Oilseeds, 9/20/03
EU-15: Grain Forecast by Country, 8/13/03
EU-15: Oilseed and Rice Forecast by Country, 7/14/03
Germany: Field Travel Reveals Conditions and Trends, 6/19/03
EU-15: Grain Forecast by Country, 5/13/03
EU Enlargement: Eastern Germany Crop Yield Increases Herald Changes in Central Europe, 1/13/03

Global Agriculture Information Network (GAIN) Reports

European Union, Oilseeds and Products Annual, 2003, E23144, 8/1/03
European Union, Grain and Feed Annual 2003, E23086, 6/2/03
European Union, Grain and Feed Semi-Annual 2003, E23001, 1/6/03

Foreign Agricultural Service U.S. Mission to the European Union

Homepage

Interactive Tools

For crop conditions in the European Union and throughout the world, visit Crop Explorer

For current and historical official USDA data on production, supply and distribution of agricultural commodities for the European Union and much of the world, visit PS&D Online

For more information, contact Jim Tringe james.tringe@usda.gov
with the Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Division, at (202)720-0882


Updated: September 05, 2003	Write us: Pecadinfo@fas.usda.gov	Index \| \| FAS Home \| USDA \|