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WEEK TEN
INDIA MONSOON: DRY
CONDITIONS PREVAIL IN NORTHERN HALF OF THE SUBCONTINENT.
 |
Monsoon
Information: Monsoon Background Rainfall Maps: Week as of August 9 | Season as of August 9 Kharif Crop Production Maps: Cotton | Peanut | Rice | Coarse Grains Monsoon Reports: | July 21 | July 15 | June 15 | July 26 | August 1 | August 9 | August 16 |
- Data and reporting provided by USDA-FAS Agricultural Counselor's office in New Delhi, India in conjunction with the India Meteorological Department.
Week Ten Monsoon
Review:
Dry
weather persisted in most parts of north, central, and west India
during the week ending August 9, with only 12 of the 35 weather
subdivisions receiving normal or above normal rainfall. All
India, area weighted rainfall for the week was 56 percent below
normal at 28.5 mm. Gujarat (peanut, cotton, millet), Maharashtra
(sorghum, cotton, pulses) and Orissa, Coastal Karnataka and
Kerala (rice) experienced below normal rainfall for the third
consecutive week. While in the rice producing areas of Assam and
Himachel Pradesh received excessive amounts of rain causing
significant flooding. Conditions were drier than normal in West
and East Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan, where major crops grown
are soybeans, rice, millet and pulses. If the dry conditions
continue the west and central states yield potential will be
lower this season. [week%normal map]
Seasonal Review: June 1 to August 9 Monsoon
Performance and Impacts: Marginally drier this
year
The southwest monsoon officially
arrived at the southern tip of India on June 1st. Cumulative rainfall since
June 1 has been normal or above normal in 26 of the 35 weather
subdivisions, compared with 31 a year ago. [season%normal map]
Major
Areas of Concern:
Due to the erratic coverage of this season's monsoon many crop regions are now
experiencing mixed conditions. The
final outcome of this year’s Kharif (fall harvested) crops
will largely depend on rainfall distribution during the second
half of August and into September. The normal withdrawal date of
the south-west monsoon is late September for most regions.
Continued dry conditions in coming weeks could jeopardize
production prospects particularly for areas which received below
normal rainfall during the previous three weeks. Major areas of concern are
Saurashtra, West Madhya Pradesh and East Madhya Pradesh where the
crops are mostly non-irrigated. [cotton | peanut | rice | course grains].
Conditions Forecast to Improve:
*Update: recent weather reports indicate a revival in the monsoon
activity across the country during the current week with
additional rain forecast for central and northern states. This
should alleviate moisture stress in most regions.
Monsoon Coverage and Crop Production
Regions
The rainfall maps integrated with Kharif crop production
statistics provides a quick analysis of areas potential crop
impacts. The rainfall map data is the current accumulation
expressed as a percentage of normal. The normal is considered the
long-term average of 30 years of collected data. [cotton | peanut | rice | course grains]
week | season | cotton | peanut | rice | course grains | India Monsoon: Week Percent of Normal | top of page
week | season | cotton | peanut | rice | course grains | India Monsoon: Season-to-Date as Percent of
Normal | top of page
week | season | cotton | peanut | rice | course grains | India
Cotton and Monsoon Progress | top of page
week | season | cotton | peanut | rice | course grains | India
Peanut and Monsoon Progress | top of page
week | season | cotton | peanut | rice | course grains | India
Rice and Monsoon Progress | top of page
week | season | cotton | peanut | rice | course grains | India Coarse Grains and Monsoon Progress | top of page
More Information and on the Southwest Monsoon | top of page
Monsoon Background: The southwest monsoon
typically enters the mainland over Kerala in the first week of
June. It moves northward to cover the whole of India by mid-July.
It starts withdrawing from mid-September. The southwest monsoon
is critical to the development of Indian agricultural production.
The southwest monsoon provides 80 percent of India's total
precipitation and is critical to the development of its major
food and commercial crops such as rice, coarse grains, pulses,
peanuts, soybeans and cotton. Planting of the largely rainfed
Kharif (monsoon season) crops, which include rice, sorghum, corn,
millet, peanut, soybean and cotton will begin after the monsoon
firmly establishes itself over the major producing states and
planting will continue through July and early August. Farmers in
the northern rice surplus states of Punjab and Haryana, where
irrigation is available, often complete rice transplanting prior
to the monsoon arrival.. This season's pre-monsoon, or early
season rains in central, south and east India should provide a
favorable early season planting conditions for rice, soybeans,
sorghum and corn. The country's economy is to a large extent
dependent on monsoon rains.
For more information, contact Jim Crutchfield with the Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Division on (202) 690-0135 or by e-mail at crutchfieldj@fas.usda.gov.
