Grain: World Markets and Trade
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Foreign Agricultural Service Circular Series
FG 04-07
April
2007
Read the notice regarding the latest changes to the Circular
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World rye trade is expected to fall to a 30-year low this year as a dearth of intervention stocks has restricted EU exports. These intervention stockpiles had swelled to over 5 million tons in recent years as the European Union bought excess rye production at an attractive guaranteed price of 101 euros per ton. However, in 2003/04, the Commission discontinued intervention purchases for rye and became aggressive in trying to liquidate these stocks. One of the major methods to accomplish that goal was to sell for export, often at only half the acquisition cost. Those sales typically accounted for nearly all of EU exports and a large portion of world trade.
Now, with intervention stocks effectively at zero, this source for exports is no longer an option and free-market supplies are unlikely to fill this void because of a number of factors. First, some EU farmers have shifted out of rye production, reducing the surplus available for export. For example, EU production this year was the lowest on record, with area down by half from 10 years ago. Second, the building of ethanol plants that use rye as a feedstock have created an additional market opportunity for producers. And third, without the bargain prices, there is little incentive for foreign markets such as Japan and South Korea to buy rye when other grains offer more feed value. Because of this, EU exports, and thus world rye trade, is likely to continue to remain at low levels.
TABLE OF CONTENTS Complete Grain Report in PDF
Grain World Markets and Trade Commodity Data [Data is for current month
only)
All Grains Summary:
Global snapshot of grains production,
consumption, stocks and trade
Wheat
Monthly Commentary:
Wheat: World Markets and Trade
Table 1: World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade
Table 2: World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Table 3: Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and
Stocks
Rice
Monthly Commentary:
Rice: World Markets and Trade
Table 1: World Rice Trade
Table 2: World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Table 3: Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and
Stocks
Coarse Grains
Monthly Commentary:
Coarse Grains: World Markets and Trade
Table 1: World Coarse Grain Trade
Table 2: World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Table 3: Regional Coarse Grain Imports, Production, Consumption,
and Stocks
Table 4: World Corn Trade
Table 5: World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Table 6: Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and
Stocks
Table 7: World Barley Trade
Table 8: World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Table 9: Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and
Stocks
Table 10: World Sorghum Trade
Table 11: World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Table 12: Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Table 13: World Oats Trade
Table 14: World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Table 15: Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Table 16: World Rye Trade
Table 17: World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Table 18: Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Historical Data Series
Table 1:
European Union: Grain Supply
and Demand
Table 2: China: Grain Supply and Demand
Table 3: Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand
Table 4: Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat and
Coarse Grains)
Table 5: Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)
Table 6: Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)
Table 7: Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)
Table
8: Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Table
9: Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Table 10: Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Table 11: Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Table 12: U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn,
Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice
Table 13: Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand
Table 14: World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand
Table 15: World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand
Table 16: World Rice: Supply and Demand
Endnotes: Regional Table Definitions and other
notes.
Additional Resources
Production, Supply and Demand Database Online (PSD Online)
World
Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE)
Interagency
Commodity Estimates Committees (ICEC)
CIRCULAR MODIFICATIONS
The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) will update its
production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, grains and
pulses at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE)
report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/).
This circular will be released at 9:30 a.m. on the same day, together with its
downloadable data set. This is an effort to speed up FAS information
dissemination to more closely coincide with the release of the WASDE.
Your comments on the new Circular are welcome and can be sent to
gfd@usda.gov. Thank you for the comments
that we have already received. They have been very helpful.
Grains
Contact
List
Data in this report is available in both Adobe Acrobat and Excel spreadsheet formats. You may need to Get the Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Last modified: Tuesday, April 10, 2007