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Click here for graphic showing U.S. Department of Commerce logo and link to site Climate of 2003 - August
Idaho Drought

National Climatic Data Center, 12 September 2003

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Statewide Overview / Paleo Perspective

Click here to go to Top of Page Statewide Overview

On a statewide basis, Idaho had the 14th driest summer (June-August) in the 109-year record. Persistent dryness over much of the last 4 to 5 years has resulted in depleted soil moisture and low streams and reservoirs.

As noted by the USDA's Natural Resources Conservation Service (Ron Abramovich),

  • the end-of-July level of the Blackfoot Reservoir, in eastern Idaho, was the lowest since 1934
  • the three-year moving average for the April 1 snow water equivalent and annual (October-September) streamflow for several basins along the eastern Idaho border are at or near record low levels, reflecting the long term drought

Statewide Precipitation Ranks
for Idaho , 2002-2003
Period Rank
Aug 42nd wettest
( 65th driest)
Jul-Aug 34th driest
Jun-Aug 14th driest
May-Aug 19th driest
Apr-Aug 33rd driest
Mar-Aug 45th driest
Feb-Aug 36th driest
Jan-Aug 41st driest
Dec-Aug 41st driest
Nov-Aug 32nd driest
Oct-Aug 21st driest
Sep-Aug 21st driest
Click here for graphic showing  precipitation departures, January 1998 - present
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Click here for graphic showing  Palmer Z Index, January 1998 - present
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Click here for graphic showing  precipitation, August    1895-2003
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Click here for graphic showing  Palmer Hydrological Drought Index, January 1900 - August    2003
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Click here to go to Top of Page Paleoclimatic Perspective

Tree-ring data from the northern Rockies (specifically the central Idaho and western Montana mountains) were analyzed to create a reconstructed summer (June-August) Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for the last 700 years. The top graph to right shows how the reconstruction (from 1900-1990) compares to the observed PDSI (from 1900-2003). The current drought has continued in this area for the last five years, reaching severity levels as extreme as the 1930s, which was the worst drought of the 20th century by this measure.

The bottom graph to the right shows the individual summer reconstructed PDSI values for each year (gray curve) and the longer-term variations (red 20-year low pass filtered curve) for 1306-1990. The annual values (gray curve) indicate that summer droughts have been as severe or worse during the last 700 years as the most severe 20th century drought (1931), specifically 1492, 1657, 1677, 1717, 1721, 1756, 1783, 1800, 1863, and 1889. A prolonged period of drought occurred during the mid-1600s, but the 1930s stands out (red curve) as the most severe drought episode in terms of combined severity and duration.

Click here for graph showing reconstructed Palmer Drought Severity Index for northern Rockies, 1306-2003
larger image (60 K)

graph showing reconstructed Palmer Drought Severity Index for northern Rockies, 1306-2003
larger image (200 K)

The general methodology of the tree-ring reconstructed Palmer index is discussed by Cook et al., 1999. An earlier version of the PDSI reconstructions is available online from the NOAA Paleoclimatology Branch http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/paleo/pdsi.html (the data displayed will be available in winter 2004).

Reference:

Cook, E.R., D.M. Meko, D.W. Stahle, and M.K. Cleaveland, 1999. "Drought reconstructions for the continental United States." Journal of Climate, 12:1145-1162.


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