ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/25/08 1059Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1045Z		DS
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LOCATION...N/CENTRAL ILLINOIS...NE MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...EAX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...MCS WEAKENING
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR HAS SHOWN RAPID CLOUD TOP WARMING OF
THE MCS OCCURRING SINCE 0845Z AS AN OUTFLOW BNDRY/LINE OF CELLS MOVES
OUT THE ERN END OF THE COMPLEX ACROSS NRN IL. THIS OUTFLOW IS PULLING
THE REST OF THE MCS EWD/NEWD ACROSS NE MO/W AND N IL. 850 MB FLOW OVER
NE KS INTO W MO PER RECENT PROFILERS HAS BECOME ALMOST DUE WRLY NOW AND
HAS LIKELY ALIGNED SFC FRNT IN A GENERAL W-E ORIENTATION ACROSS CENTRAL
MO. WITH LLJ FEEDING INTO UPWIND EDGE OF CELLS INVOF CHARITON/RANDOLPH
COUNTIES..MAY ALLOW FOR SOME MORE BACKBUILDING TO THE W OR SLOW MOVEMENT
AS WELL AS TRAINING INTO WRN IL INVOF KPPQ. BEST PW'S HAVE LIFTED NEWD
INTO NRN IL THOUGH AND CONTINUED WEAKENING OF CELLS IN GENERAL THROUGH
MORNING HRS SHOULD ALLOW FOR MUCH MORE MOD RAINS THAN WERE OBSERVED
OVER NW MO EARLIER IN THE NIGHT. SOME STRONGER CELLS ARE STILL PRESENT
WITHIN TIGHTEST THETA-E AXIS GRADIENT NEAR AND JUST S OF THE SE IA/NE MO
BORDER WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED PROBLEMS WHERE THEY CROSS AREAS
WHICH HAD HVY RAINS OVERNIGHT BUT THAT SEEMED TO BE JUST S AND W OF OF
WHERE THESE NEW CELLS ARE NOW. STILL IT IS CONCERNING THAT THEY APPEAR
AS THOUGH THEY WILL BE SOMEWHAT SLOW MOVING  THOUGH LIKELY ONLY CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING ESTIMATED RAINRATES OF 1-1.5"/HR. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW FOR 6 HR ESTIMATE GRAPHIC FROM 0245Z-0845Z DEPICTING
MAX 6.6" THOUGH AS EXPLAINED IN PREVIOUS SPE..AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES
DID NOT PICK UP ON THE CELL DVLPMT/BACKBUILDING ON WRN END AS THE COLDER
TOPS WERE BEING BLOWN OFF THE TO E. OTHER AUTOMATED STLT TECHNIQUES
SHOWED ESTIMATES UP TO 7" IN AN AXIS OF HVY RAINS FROM E DAVIESS/N
LIVINGSTON/GRUNDY INTO LINN/NW MACON COUNTIES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4171 8978 4169 8794 3975 8797 3914 9338 4016 9282
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