ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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AZZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/23/08 0213
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 0200Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...TWC...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...
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EVENT...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WITH VERY WARM TOPPED CONVECTION
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...ANOMOUSLY STG UPR LOW HELPING TO GENERATE
VERY WARM TOPPED CNVTN ACRS PARTS OF SW AZ. COLDEST CLD TOP TEMPS I
COULD FIND WERE ARND -37C WITH CLUSTER OF CELLS INVOF SRN MARICOPA. AMS
IS MARGINAL AT BEST FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WITH PW'S ABT .4" AND SFC TD'S
IN THE LOW 40S. HOWEVER..STG DYNAMICS..WARM RAIN PROCESSES WITH LOW
TOP CNVTN..SLOW MVMNT AND SOME MERGING (TO LOCALLY INCR MOISTURE) ARE
COMBINING TO GENERATE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
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GOES-11 ANIMATION SHOWS CNVTN HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER EXTRM SE YUMA AND
SRN MARICOPA..ESP JUST N OF VENTANA AND IN THE CABEZA PRIETA WILDLIFE
REFUGE. TRENDS INDICATE THAT CNVTN IS TRYING TO CONSOLIDATE AND TRACK
ALG THE MARICOPA/PIMA BORDER. ESTD RAINFALL AMNTS ARE DIFFICULT IN THIS
SITN BUT FEEL THAT ISOLD AMNTS UP TO 1" PSBL.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3366 11406 3342 11183 3154 11203 3182 11427
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