ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/04/04 2020Z AlS
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2015Z
CIRA BLENDED PW GENERATED 1653Z
HYDROESTIMATOR THROUGH 1945Z

LOCATION...VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA...WEST VIRGINIA...TENNESSEE...
.
ATTN WFOS...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...
ATTN RFCS...MARFC...SERFC...OHRFC...LMRFC...
.
EVENT...HEAVY STRATIFORM RAINS
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS... SEVERAL FACTORS OBSERVED IN IMAGERY
POINTING TO RAINS OF 1-2 INCHES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS IN WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA. IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE
ENHANCING CLOUDTOPS TO -55C OR COLDER. IN HOUSE MCIDAS ANALYSIS SHOWS
SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE MAX CENTERED OVER THIS AREA.  PERHAPS THE
BIGGEST FACTOR IS THE PW PLUME OF OVER 200% NORMAL STRETCHING FROM THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO NORTHWARD INTO WEST VIRGINIA.
AS SHOWN BY THE CIRA BLENDED PW PRODUCT(SEE GRAPHIC). HYDROESTIMATOR
INDICATES 3 HOUR TOTALS OF 1-2 INCHES FROM NORTHWEST GEORGIA NORTHWARD
INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND SIMILAR AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED AS THE
SHORTWAVE CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. AUTOMATED ESTIMATING TECHNIQUES
ARE NOT DOING WELL WITH THE WARM TOPPED CONVECTIVE BAND FURTHER WEST IN
EASTERN TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY.


SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3867 8113 3860 7952 3584 8026 3608 8182
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Message Graphic

-

Full Size Estimate Graphic

-