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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/11/06 0345Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0332Z  GG
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LOCATION...N NEW YORK...
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ATTN WFOS...BGM...BUF...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC...
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EVENT...LAKE ONTARIO LES
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LES BAND CONTINUES TO STRONG ACROSS S
LEWIS/S OSWEGO AND N ONEIDA COUNTIES.  SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS COLD TOPS OVER
THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE LAKE WITH SOME WARMING SEEN N OF ROCHESTER
THIS WARMING IS IN RESPONSE TO A SLIGHT SELY SHIFT OF UPPER LEVEL WINDS AS
THE MAIN VORTICITY CENTER CONTINUES TO SLIDE SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS FAR E
ONT...SFC WINDS DO CONTINUE NEARLY PARRALLEL TO THE S LAKE SHORE AT 30-40
KTS THROUGH THE DEPTH OF THE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT (~13K FT).   THIS SWLY
SHIFT CAN BE SEEN IN THE LES PLUME FROM THE GEORGIAN BAY WHICH IS ALMOST
USING THE MAXIMUM FETCH AND IS LEADING TO ENHANCEMENT OF THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE E ONTARIO PLUME FROM SALMON PT ON THE SOUTHERN POINT OF
THE LAND EXTENSION ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE LAKE.  MOISTURE PROFILES AND
THIS ENHANCED DUAL FETCH SHOULD SUPPORT SLIGHTLY HIGHER RATES AROUND 2"
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS (SLIGHTLY HIGHER RATES IN VERY STRONG OROGRAPHIC
LIFT OF S LEWIS/HERKIMER COUNTIES) UNTIL THE WIND SHIFT FROM DUE W TO SW
OCCURS BY EARLY MORNING/DAYBREAK...ALSO DECREASING THE LEVEL OF INVERSION
AND SHIFTING THE PLUME TOWARD FAR S OSWEGO/ONONDAGA COUNTIES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4387 7521 4270 7554 4338 7720 4382 7717
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