ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/17/07 1603Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1545Z KUSSELSON NOAA AMSU:1052Z/0901Z DMSP SSMI:1118Z/1326Z . LOCATION...SW LOUISIANA...SE TEXAS... . ATTN WFOS...LCH...HGX...CRP... ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC... . EVENT...RAPIDLY INCREASING MOISTURE ALONG TX COAST...SHORT WAVE AND SUBTROPICAL JET WILL BREAK OUT HVY RAIN PRETTY QUICKLY... . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...GOES SOUNDER PW LOOP ALONG WITH NEW MORNING MICROWAVE PASSES SHOWING A SIGNIFICANT UPTICK IN MOISTURE LIFTING NORTH/NE ALONG THE TX COAST. AIR MASS HAD BEEN EXCEPTIONALLY DRY PAST FEW DAYS...SO IT IS TAKING SOME TIME FOR LOWER LEVELS TO MOISTEN UP. BUT WITH MOISTURE SOURCE IN E PACIFIC JUST SOUTH OF MEXICO (18N/110W) AND SURGE OF MOISTURE NE ACROSS MEXICAN MOUNTAINS ON 500MB AND NOW 700MB FLOW...THE MOISTENING HAS INCRD SIGNIFICANTLY THIS MORNING. MECHANISMS TO SQUEEZE OUT MOISTURE ALSO COMING TOGETHER WITH STRETCHED OUT MAIN SHORT WAVE MOVING INTO NE TO CENTRAL TX AND THE BIG BEND AND SUBTROPICAL JET SHIFTING EAST THRU C MEXICO AND CENTRAL TEXAS. SO A SIGNIFICANT INCREASING IN RAINFALL WILL OCCUR LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. LUCKILY MONTH OF NOV HAS BEEN GENERALLY DRY AND GUIDANCE VALUES RATHER HIGH...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS RAINFALL WILL COME FAST AND POSSIBLY QUITE HEAVILY TONIGHT IN A NARROW AREA. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3069 9497 2984 9350 2705 9597 2784 9739 . NNNN