ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/18/07 0145Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0130Z  KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W MINNESOTA...SOUTH DAKOTA...E NORTH DAKOTA...
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ATTN WFOS...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND HVY RAIN INCREASING...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BIG PICTURE SHOWING UPPER LOW HAS MOVES
INTO SW MANITOBA AND TROUGH EXTENDING TO THE SOUTH MOVING ACROSS
C MONTANA AND NW WYOMING.  ONE OF THE SHORT WAVES TRIGGERING SD AND ND
CONVECTION MOVING THRU W ND.  SATELLITE WINDS NOW SHOWING JET CORE N UT/
SW WY TO W ND.  OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS WITH A BLEND OF GOES SOUNDER,
RADIOSONDE AND GPS PW DATA SHOWING HIGHEST MOISTURE IN AN ARC FROM N
CENTRAL SD THRU E CENTRAL ND/N MN TO NE WI.   DRY TONGUE/MIN OF PWS FROM
ROCKIES THRU NEBRASKA INTO SE SD/N IA/S MN.  AS TROUGH FROM WY AND MT
CONTINUES EAST...THERE WILL BE CONTINUED DESTABILIZATION AND SPEADING
OF CONVECTION NE THRU C SD AND ND INTO NE SD AND E ND.  CELLS WILL BE
MOVING QUICKLY...SO MOST CONCERN WITH TRAINING IN SWLY FLOW.  EVEN THOUGH
MOISTURE TRANSPORT SHORT IT IS COMPACT AND INTO STORM CENTERED ON ND AND
THIS ALONE COULD ALLOW FOR REPEATING CELL BURSTS OF HVY RAIN AT POINT
OF MAXIMUM PWS GIVING 0.7"-1.8" IN A 45-75 MINUTE TIME FRAME.  HVY RAIN
THREAT FOR INTERIOR NE SD INCREASING AND WILL BE CONVERGING WITH C ND
CONVECTION FOR HVY RAIN CELLS E ND IN AT LEAST THE  03-07Z TIME PERIOD.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS IN 10 MINUTES ON WEB
SITE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4894 10047 4873 9467 4579 9611 4579 9611 4391 10005
4464 10075
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