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      1
2
3
4
Food Assistance and Nutrition Research Program, Final Report: Fiscal 2007 Activities

5
Agricultural Outlook Statistical Indicators

6
7
U.S. Watermelon Industry

8
9
10
Program of Research on the Economics of Invasive Species Management, Fiscal 2008, Competitive Award Program: Description and Application Process

Household Food Security and Tradeoffs in the Food Budget ...

Sources of Variation in State-Level Food Stamp Participation ...

11
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

Latest U.S. Agricultural Trade Data

Season-Average Price Forecasts

12
Price Trends Are Similar for Fruits, Vegetables, and Snack Foods

The Japanese Market for Oranges

Livestock and Meat Trade Data

U.S. Agricultural Trade Data Update

Rice Outlook

Cotton and Wool Outlook

13
Feed Outlook

Wheat

14
Meat Price Spreads

15
16
17
Convergence in Global Food Demand and Delivery

Food Assistance and Nutrition Research Program, Fiscal ...

18
19
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook

20
Wheat Data

Feed Grains Database

21
Food Stamps and Obesity: What Do We Know?

State Fact Sheets

Oil Crops Yearbook summary

22
23
24
The Costs of Benefit Delivery in the Food Stamp Program: Lessons From a Cross-Program Analysis

Monthly Milk Cost of Production

25
Organic Farmgate and Wholesale Prices

26
27
Soybeans and Oil Crops

Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook

28
Program of Research on the Economics of Invasive Species Management, Fiscal 2008, Competitive Award Program: Description and Application Process

Dietary Assessment of Major Trends in U.S. Food Consumption, ...

29
30
31
Wheat Yearbook summary

         


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This Month at ERS - [March 1, 2008 - March 31, 2008]

Tuesday, March 4, 2008
Food Assistance and Nutrition Research Program, Final Report: Fiscal 2007 Activities

ERS's Food Assistance and Nutrition Research Program (FANRP) supports intramural and extramural research on a wide range of policy-relevant food assistance and nutrition topics. The three perennial program themes are (1) diet and nutritional outcomes, (2) food program targeting and delivery, and (3) program dynamics and administration. The core food and nutrition assistance programs include the Food Stamp Program, the child nutrition programs, and the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC). This report summarizes FANRP's activities and accomplishments in fiscal 2007.



Wednesday, March 5, 2008
Agricultural Outlook Statistical Indicators

Statistical Indicators previously published in Agricultural Outlook addressing a broad spectrum of agriculture-related issues. Includes commodity and food prices, general economic indicators, government program expenditures, farm income estimates, and trade and export statistics.



Friday, March 7, 2008
U.S. Watermelon Industry

Includes time series data on U.S. and State acreage, yield, production, prices and value; per capita consumption; U.S. trade; world production and trade; and other data on truck freight charges, irrigation, and characteristics of watermelon farms.



Monday, March 10, 2008
Program of Research on the Economics of Invasive Species Management, Fiscal 2008, Competitive Award Program: Description and Application Process

Under the Program of Research on the Economics of Invasive Species Management (PREISM), ERS supports and conducts research to improve the economic basis of decisionmaking concerning invasive issues, policies, and programs. Program themes have included international dimensions of invasive species prevention and management; development and application of methods to analyze important invasive species issues, policies, and programs; and analysis of economic, institutional, and behavioral factors affecting decisions to prevent or manage invasive species. This document describes the application process for submitting research proposals to be considered for fiscal 2008 competitive awards. The deadline for submission is April 25, 2008.



Monday, March 10, 2008
Household Food Security and Tradeoffs in the Food Budget of Food Stamp Program Participants: An Engel Function Approach

This study develops a framework for differentiating true Food Stamp Program (FSP) impacts on food security from those that arise because households with the most severe food-related hardships are more likely to participate in the program. The framework hypothesizes that food spending improvements are the likely causal link between FSP participation and enhanced food security. Since food stamp benefits diminish with income, the incremental effect of FSP participation is also expected to diminish. Using data from the Current Population Survey Food Security Supplements in a statistical framework that controls for household income, the study finds that FSP participants have consistently higher at-home food spending and lower away-from-home-spending than comparable nonparticipants. For both groups, food security rises with income, but food security remains lower for program participants. Because differences in food spending and food security do not disappear as income rises, the study concludes that observed disparities are not likely to be true program impacts.

Disclaimer: This study was conducted by Tufts University under Cooperative Assistance Agreement number 43-3AEM-5-80088 with the Economic Research Service. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of ERS or USDA.



Monday, March 10, 2008
Sources of Variation in State-Level Food Stamp Participation Rates

In 2003, about 56 percent of those eligible to participate in the Food Stamp Program actually participated. The participation rate varied substantially across States, ranging from a high of 83 percent in Oregon to a low of 43 percent in Massachusetts. Using data for 2003 from the Food Stamp Program Quality Control and Current Population Survey, this study examined factors that help to explain the variation. Results show that different population characteristics across States are a major factor because different types of eligible people tend to participate at different rates. States with a higher share of households headed by elderly people had lower rates, while those with a higher share of households without earnings and headed by nonelderly people had higher participation rates. Yet, substantial variation remained after “standardized” State participation rates were calculated that adjust for these compositional differences. Attempts to further explain these standardized rates by State policies and economic conditions were unsuccessful, perhaps due to the limited sample size and imprecise measures of policies.

Disclaimer: This study was conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., under research contract number 43-3AEM-3-80108 with the Economic Research Service. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of ERS or USDA.



Tuesday, March 11, 2008
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
[Release Schedule]

Issued monthly, WASDE provides the most current USDA forecasts of U.S. and world supply-use balances for major grains, soybeans and products, and cotton, and U.S. supply and use data for sugar and livestock products.

Released at 8:30 a.m. ET.



Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Latest U.S. Agricultural Trade Data

The latest U.S. agricultural trade data are now available from ERS. This new data product announces USDA's monthly release of calendar year, fiscal year, year-to-date, and monthly value of U.S. agricultural exports, imports, and trade balance.



Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Season-Average Price Forecasts

A futures-price forecasting model is used to provide season-average price forecasts for corn, soybeans, and wheat. In addition to the monthly forecasts for prices received, the model computes a forecast for the counter-cyclical payment rate for each commodity. The 2002 Farm Act provides for counter-cyclical payments when prices are below specified levels.



Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Price Trends Are Similar for Fruits, Vegetables, and Snack Foods

An increase in the price of fruits and vegetables relative to less healthy foods could reduce consumers’ incentives to purchase fruits and vegetables and result in less healthy diets. Whether such a change in relative prices and incentives has occurred in the United States is difficult to prove because of substantial quality improvements in many fresh fruits and vegetables. For commonly consumed fresh fruits and vegetables for which quality has remained fairly constant, analysis of price trends reveals a price decline similar to that of dessert and snack foods. This price trend evidence suggests that the price of a healthy diet has not changed relative to an unhealthy one, although a healthy diet might not include every fresh fruit or vegetable currently available.



Wednesday, March 12, 2008
The Japanese Market for Oranges

Japan is a large market for U.S. orange exports, and most of Japan’s orange consumption is supplied by U.S. exports. Orange consumption and imports grew until 1994, but have declined since. Demographic shifts are linked to changing orange consumption: older birth cohorts eat more oranges, and younger ones eat fewer oranges; within each cohort, consumption increases with age. Income changes appear not to be major factors in the decline in orange consumption, but price changes appear to be potentially important. A downward trend in consumption, not explained by the demographic variables, prices, or income, may continue in the future.



Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Livestock and Meat Trade Data

The Livestock and Meat Trade Data Set contains monthly and annual data for imports and exports of live cattle, hogs, sheep, and goats, as well as beef and veal, pork, lamb and mutton, chicken meat, turkey meat, and eggs. The tables report physical quantities, not dollar values or unit prices. Data on beef and veal, pork, and lamb and mutton are on a carcass-weight-equivalent basis. Breakdowns by country are included.

Released by 10 a.m. ET.



Wednesday, March 12, 2008
U.S. Agricultural Trade Data Update

Provides a monthly update of year-to-date quantities and values of U.S. agricultural exports and imports. Also provides data on leading destination countries for exports and import source countries.



Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Rice Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for rice, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Contains information on U.S. rough, milled, and long-, medium-, and short-grain rice.

Timely version released by 4 p.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Cotton and Wool Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for cotton and wool, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Includes data on raw fibers and textiles.

Released by 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Thursday, March 13, 2008
Feed Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for feed grains, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Focuses on corn; also contains information on sorghum, barley, oats, and hay.

Released by 9 a.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Thursday, March 13, 2008
Wheat

The Wheat Briefing Room offers a synthesis of ERS research, analysis, and outlook on U.S. and global wheat markets, including basic information on the U.S. wheat sector, trade issues, and domestic policy, as well as a detailed explanation of how wheat supply and use is calculated.



Friday, March 14, 2008
Meat Price Spreads

This data set provides monthly average price values, and the differences among those values, at the farm, wholesale, and retail stages of the production and marketing chain for selected cuts of beef, pork, and broilers. In addition, retail prices are provided for beef and pork cuts, turkey, whole chickens, eggs, and dairy products.

Released by 10 a.m. ET.



Monday, March 17, 2008
Convergence in Global Food Demand and Delivery

Using food expenditures and food sales data over 1990-2004, this report examines whether food consumption and delivery trends are converging across 47 high- and middle-income countries. Middle-income countries, such as China and Mexico, appear to be following trends in high-income countries, measured across several dimensions of food system growth and change. Convergence is apparent in most important food expenditure categories and in indicators of food system modernization such as supermarket and fast-food sales.

Listen to a podcast based on this report.



Monday, March 17, 2008
Food Assistance and Nutrition Research Program, Fiscal 2008, Competitive Grants and Cooperative Agreements Program: Description and Application Process

ERS's Food Assistance and Nutrition Research Program is now accepting proposals for grants and cooperative agreements for fiscal 2008. The three priority research areas are (1) Food Choices: Economic Determinants and Consequences, (2) Economic Incentives in Food Assistance Programs, and (3) Food Assistance as an Economic Safety Net. This publication describes the research areas and application requirements. Funding for competitive awards in fiscal 2008 is approximately $2 million. The deadline for proposal submission is May 19, 2008.



Wednesday, March 19, 2008
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Timely livestock, dairy, and poultry information, focusing on current and forecast production, price, and trade statistics for each of the sectors.

Released by 9:00 a.m. ET. Supporting tables available later in the month after release of key livestock and animal product data. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification. Printed copies can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-LDPM-4042).



Thursday, March 20, 2008
Wheat Data

This data product contains statistics on wheat - including the five classes of wheat: hard red winter, hard red spring, soft red winter, white, and durum - and rye. Includes data published in the monthly Wheat Outlook and previously annual Wheat Yearbook. Data are monthly, quarterly, and/or annual depending upon the data series.

This data product contains statistics on wheat - including the five classes of wheat: hard red winter, hard red spring, soft red winter, white, and durum - and rye. Includes data published in the monthly Wheat Outlook and previously annual Wheat Yearbook. Data are monthly, quarterly, and/or annual depending upon the data series.



Thursday, March 20, 2008
Feed Grains Database

Interactive database that contains statistics on four feed grains (corn, grain sorghum, barley, and oats), foreign coarse grains (feed grains plus rye, millet, and mixed grains), hay, and related items. Tables previously published annually in the Feed Yearbook are available and updated continuously as data are added to the database. Custom queries also allow users to retrieve historical data.



Friday, March 21, 2008
Food Stamps and Obesity: What Do We Know?

Results from reviewed studies indicate that for most participants in the Food Stamp Program—children, nonelderly men, and the elderly—use of food stamp benefits does not result in an increase in either Body Mass Index (BMI) or the likelihood of being overweight or obese. However, for nonelderly women, who account for 28 percent of the food stamp caseload, some evidence suggests that participation in the Food Stamp Program may increase BMI and the probability of obesity. Different results for age and sex subgroups remain unexplained. Further, because food stamp benefits are issued to households, not individuals, mixed results across age and sex subgroups make it difficult to target policy alternatives to address potential weight gain among some participants while not affecting others in the household.



Friday, March 21, 2008
State Fact Sheets

The ERS State Fact Sheets contain frequently requested data for each state and for the total United States. These include current data on population, per-capita income, earnings per job, poverty rates, employment, unemployment, farm and farm-related jobs, farm characteristics, farm financial characteristics, top agricultural commodities, top export commodities, and the top counties in agricultural sales. The latest (2007) data on unemployment and 2006 per capita income and earnings per job are now available.



Friday, March 21, 2008
Oil Crops Yearbook summary
[Release Schedule]

Summary release. Examines world and U.S. production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for oil crops (focusing on soybeans and products).

Summary released by 4 p.m. ET.



Monday, March 24, 2008
The Costs of Benefit Delivery in the Food Stamp Program: Lessons From a Cross-Program Analysis

This study compares the Food Stamp Program (FSP) with eight other public assistance programs across four measures of program effectiveness—administrative costs, error payments, program access, and benefit targeting. The comparison includes two other USDA nutrition assistance programs, three cash assistance programs, and three programs providing noncash benefits other than food or nutrition assistance. Results show that the FSP and the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) present contrasting patterns. The EITC program has lower administrative costs and higher program access rates than the FSP, but the FSP is more successful in limiting overpayments. Missing information makes it hard to generalize across the other programs, but there is some evidence suggesting that programs with higher errors have lower administrative costs. Low administrative costs also appear to be inversely associated with good program access for recipients. Also, programs that are more highly targeted tend to have higher benefit delivery costs.

Disclaimer: This study was conducted by the Brookings Institution under Cooperative Assistance Agreement number 59-5000-6-0104 with the Economic Research Service. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of ERS or USDA.



Monday, March 24, 2008
Monthly Milk Cost of Production

Monthly milk cost of production estimates are available by State from January 2003 to the previous month.

Released by 4:00 p.m. ET.



Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Organic Farmgate and Wholesale Prices

This data set provides farmgate and wholesale prices for select organic and conventional fruits and vegetables, wholesale prices for organic and conventional poultry (broilers) and eggs, as well as f.o.b. and spot prices for organic grain and feedstuffs. Prices are based on those reported by USDA Agricultural Marketing Service Market News, Organic Food Business News, and USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service.



Thursday, March 27, 2008
Soybeans and Oil Crops

The Soybeans and Oil Crops Briefing Room offers a synthesis of ERS research, analysis, and outlook on U.S. and global markets for soybean and soybean products, including current and historical data on supply, demand, and trade. Information on other oilseeds, such as cottonseed, sunflowerseed, and peanuts, is also available.



Thursday, March 27, 2008
Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Lower Production for Most Stone Fruit in 2008

U.S. stone fruit production in 2008 is forecast down from a year ago, particularly for peaches, sweet and tart cherries, and apricots. A mid-April freeze caused widespread damage to stone fruit crops in major producing States. The lower production this year is putting upward pressure on most stone fruit prices.

Released by 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter (and yearbook) availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification. Printed copies of the newsletter (and yearbook) can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-FTS-4036).



Friday, March 28, 2008
Program of Research on the Economics of Invasive Species Management, Fiscal 2008, Competitive Award Program: Description and Application Process

Under the Program of Research on the Economics of Invasive Species Management (PREISM), ERS supports and conducts research to improve the economic basis of decisionmaking concerning invasive issues, policies, and programs. Program themes have included international dimensions of invasive species prevention and management; development and application of methods to analyze important invasive species issues, policies, and programs; and analysis of economic, institutional, and behavioral factors affecting decisions to prevent or manage invasive species. This document describes the application process for submitting research proposals to be considered for fiscal 2008 competitive awards. The deadline for submission is April 25, 2008.



Friday, March 28, 2008
Dietary Assessment of Major Trends in U.S. Food Consumption, 1970-2005

This report examines major trends in the amount of food available for consumption in the United States between 1970 and 2005 using data from the ERS Food Availability (Per Capita) Data System. The report also estimates whether Americans are meeting Federal dietary recommendations for each of the major food groups by comparing the data with dietary recommendations in the 2005 Dietary Guidelines for Americans and the MyPyramid Food Guidance System. Findings show that Americans do not meet the Federal dietary recommendations. For Americans to meet these recommendations, they would need to substantially lower their intake of added fats, refined grains, and added sugars and sweeteners and increase their consumption of fruits, vegetables, whole grains, and low-fat milk and milk products.



Monday, March 31, 2008
Wheat Yearbook summary
[Release Schedule]

Examines world and U.S. production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for wheat.

Summary released by 4 p.m. ET.



34 releases of 33 products this month on 17 different days.

Web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov


Updated date: June 29, 2008