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000
FLUS44 KTSA 081900
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2008
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2008
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WITH A LOW LEVEL CLOUD DECK AFFECTING
ONLY FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA AND
PUSH A WARM FRONT OVER THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. MOISTURE
RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL CAUSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
BECOME WIDESPREAD LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH MONDAY. RAINFALL
COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY MONDAY. WHILE STABILITY WILL BE LIMITED...STRONG
SHEAR IS AVAILABLE TO SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW SURFACE BASED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. HAIL AND STRONG WINDS WILL BE MOST LIKELY THREAT.
THE FOCUS FOR RAIN WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH BY TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
SUPPORT AND SURFACE FOCUS MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA. HOWEVER
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS A POSSIBILITY WITH MAINLY LIGHT RAIN AND SHOWERS
POSSIBLE.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.
$$
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000
FLUS44 KAMA 081856
HWOAMA
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2008
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-091200-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
100 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.
.DAY ONE...
LOW AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT ACROSS
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
TAB
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000
FLUS44 KOUN 081747
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1146 AM CST SAT NOV 8 2008
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-091300-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1146 AM CST SAT NOV 8 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER OKLAHOMA AND
NORTH TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST SUNDAY NOV 9.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...0 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
A POTENT AND FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
MONDAY. A NARROW AXIS OF GULF MOISTURE...AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE
AIR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP JUST AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FROM WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
TOWARD SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
LARGE HAIL. BY MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE...GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM WICHITA FALLS
TO NORMAN.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM
SUNDAY.
$$
MAXWELL/TAYLOR
000
FLUS44 KTSA 081115
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
515 AM CST SAT NOV 8 2008
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
515 AM CST SAT NOV 8 2008
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
FOLLOWING A WEAK COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...FREEZING OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR NIGHT ACROSS SECTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SOME LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY SEE LOW TEMPERATURES
IN THE UPPER 20S.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REST OF WEEKEND WILL GIVE WAY TO THE NEXT
SYSTEM LATE SUNDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AS A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM SWEEPS THE
REGION. A WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION AND SERVE AS A
FOCUS FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. RAINFALL
COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY AS MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM SLOWS AS IT MOVES
EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. THE FOCUS FOR RAIN WILL SHIFT TO
THE NORTH BY TUESDAY AS THE UPPER SUPPORT AND SURFACE FOCUS MOVE
FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
THE LATEST FORECASTS AND DISCUSSIONS SHOULD BE MONITORED FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL NEXT WEEK.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.
$$
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