NOAA Air Resources Laboratory

tx fire


FNUS74 KMAF 241515
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR WATER TANK EAST...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1015 AM CDT WED SEP 24 2008

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. 20 FOOT WINDS
AT BURN TIME TODAY WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AT 8 TO 12 MPH WITH RH/S
AROUND 50 PERCENT. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH/S ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 30
PERCENT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL. WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATER NIGHT WITH GOOD RH RECOVERY EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR /1000-16000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT /96000-145000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      11 AM        3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MSUNY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE
TEMP............72           82
RH..............50           31
20 FT WIND DIR..SE           SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10           12
20 FT WIND GUST.             20
MIX HGT (FT)....2000         8500
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE           E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8            17
HAINES INDEX....3            2

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
HAINES INDEX........2 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /128000 KNOT-FT/ DECREASING TO POOR
                    /2000-4000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MSUNY        MCLR         MCLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............77           68           64
RH..............32           53           66
20 FT WIND DIR..SE           SE           SE
20 FT WIND SPD..12           10           4
20 FT WIND GUST.20           20
MIX HGT (FT)....8000         500          500
TRANSP WIND DIR.E            S            SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.16           6            7
HAINES INDEX....2            2            2

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR /1000-28000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT /98000-117000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........MCLR         MCLR         MCLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............60           68           78
RH..............76           55           37
20 FT WIND DIR..VRB          VRB          SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3            4            10
20 FT WIND GUST.             10           20
MIX HGT (FT)....500          4000         7500
TRANSP WIND DIR.N            SE           SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.1            7            13
HAINES INDEX....2            2            2

$$

FORECASTER...CICCONE
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS NEPPL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080924.WATER.01/MAF