Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
000
FNUS53 KGRR 020835
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
335 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2008
...SHOWERS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT..
.DISCUSSION...
A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
CLOUD COVER WITH SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BECOME
MORE PROMINENT TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
TONIGHT... MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF LOWER MICHIGAN.
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
MIZ037>039-043>045-022115-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
335 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 1300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0400...THEN A
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.28 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
3000-3500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ040-046-022115-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
335 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 1600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0400...THEN A
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.30 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
UNTIL MIDDAY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-022115-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
335 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1600...THEN A
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 31 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL 0400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
3500-4000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-022115-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
335 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1600...THEN A
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
UNTIL 0400. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.16 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1100.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
UNTIL MIDDAY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-022115-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
335 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1100.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
9 TO 14 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
7 TO 12 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.FRIDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
$$
